IndianaHoosiers

10-0 T1st (7-0) in B1G

Data from 2025-11-09 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

99.6%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	vsOld DominionODU	W27-14
2	9/06	vsKennesaw StateKENN	W56-9
3	9/12	vsIndiana StateINST	W73-0
4	9/20	vsIllinoisILL	W63-10
5	9/27	@IowaIOWA	W20-15
7	10/11	@OregonORE	W30-20
8	10/18	vsMichigan StateMSU	W38-13
9	10/25	vsUCLAUCLA	W56-6
10	11/01	@MarylandMD	W55-10
11	11/08	@Penn StatePSU	W27-24
12	11/15	vsWisconsinWIS	Win prob:99%
14	11/28	@PurduePUR	Win prob:99%

Data from 2025-11-09 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
9-0	97.8%	100.0%
8-1	2.2%	82.6%
7-2	0.0%	9.1%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-11-09 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

84.0%

11.3%

2.5%

2.1%

0.0%

Data from 2025-11-09 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
Penn StatePSU@Michigan StateMSU	99.6% (+0.0%)	99.7% (+0.1%)
MinnesotaMINN@OregonORE	99.7% (+0.1%)	99.6% (+0.0%)
MarylandMD@IllinoisILL	99.5% (-0.1%)	99.6% (+0.0%)
PurduePUR@WashingtonWASH	99.6% (-0.0%)	99.6% (+0.0%)
WisconsinWIS@IndianaIU	82.7% (-16.9%)	99.8% (+0.2%)
IowaIOWA@USCUSC	99.6% (+0.0%)	99.6% (-0.0%)
MichiganMICH@NorthwesternNU	99.6% (-0.0%)	99.7% (+0.1%)
UCLAUCLA@Ohio StateOSU	98.7% (-0.9%)	99.6% (+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Michigan State

Minnesota

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.1%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Indiana

Ohio State

CCG: 99.8% • Scenario: 97.8%

Ways for to Clinch CCG Spot This Week

Purdue

Indiana

USC

Northwestern

0.6%

Minnesota

Northwestern

0.5%

Indiana

USC

Michigan

UCLA

0.5%

Michigan State

USC

Northwestern

0.4%

Illinois

Purdue

USC

Northwestern

0.4%

Illinois

Indiana

USC

UCLA

0.4%

Maryland

Purdue

Indiana

Northwestern

0.4%

Michigan State

Purdue

0.3%

Maryland

Indiana

Michigan

UCLA

0.2%

Minnesota

Purdue

0.2%

+5 more clinching scenarios

Data from 2025-11-09 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

100.0%

97.8%

Any 1 loss

82.6%

2.2%

83.4%

1.2%

81.6%

1.0%

9.1%

<0.1%

Data from 2025-11-09 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-11-09 • SportsSimulate.com