VirginiaCavaliers

9-2 4th (6-2) in ACC

Data from 2025-11-16 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

46.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	vsCoastal CarolinaCCU	W48-7
2	9/06	@NC StateNCSU	L31-35
3	9/13	vsWilliam & MaryW&M	W55-16
4	9/20	vsStanfordSTAN	W48-20
5	9/26	vsFlorida StateFSU	W46-38
6	10/04	@LouisvilleLOU	W30-27
8	10/18	vsWashington StateWSU	W22-20
9	10/25	@North CarolinaUNC	W17-16
10	11/01	@CaliforniaCAL	W31-21
11	11/08	vsWake ForestWAKE	L9-16
12	11/15	@DukeDUKE	W34-17
14	11/29	vsVirginia TechVT	Win prob:74%

Data from 2025-11-16 • SportsSimulate.com

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
7-2	73.8%	62.4%
6-3	26.2%	0.1%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-11-16 • SportsSimulate.com

if makes the CCG

34.9%

32.7%

14.2%

10.6%

7.7%

Data from 2025-11-16 • SportsSimulate.com

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
FurmanFUR@ClemsonCLEM	46.6% (+0.5%)	46.0% (-0.1%)
DelawareDEL@Wake ForestWAKE	46.0% (-0.1%)	46.2% (+0.1%)
SyracuseSYR@Notre DameND	42.6% (-3.5%)	46.1% (+0.0%)
DukeDUKE@North CarolinaUNC	46.2% (+0.1%)	45.7% (-0.4%)
MiamiMIA@Virginia TechVT	46.0% (-0.1%)	46.5% (+0.4%)
PittsburghPITT@Georgia TechGT	60.6% (+14.5%)	31.5% (-14.6%)
LouisvilleLOU@SMUSMU	73.9% (+27.8%)	32.8% (-13.3%)
CaliforniaCAL@StanfordSTAN	46.1% (+0.0%)	46.0% (-0.1%)
Florida StateFSU@NC StateNCSU	46.1% (+0.0%)	46.1% (-0.0%)