Atlantic Coast Conference Tiebreaker Scenarios

Scenarios where tiebreakers determine conference championship game participants

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48 of 48 scenarios

Scenario	CCG Matchup	Probability
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT VirginiaUVA	SMUSMUVirginiaUVA	8.1%
7-1 Georgia TechGT 6-2 DukeDUKE MiamiMIA SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	Georgia TechGTVirginiaUVA	5.3%
6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	DukeDUKEVirginiaUVA	5.3%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT VirginiaUVA	SMUSMUVirginiaUVA	5.1%
6-2 Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	CCG participants not 100% certain MiamiMIAVirginiaUVA 91.3% SMUSMUVirginiaUVA 8.0%	3.4%
7-1 Georgia TechGT 6-2 MiamiMIA SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	Georgia TechGTVirginiaUVA	3.3%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT	CCG participants not 100% certain DukeDUKESMUSMU 70.2% MiamiMIASMUSMU 29.8%	2.8%
7-1 PittsburghPITT 6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	PittsburghPITTVirginiaUVA	2.6%
7-1 Georgia TechGT 6-2 DukeDUKE PittsburghPITT SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	Georgia TechGTVirginiaUVA	2.5%
6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT SMUSMU	CCG participants not 100% certain DukeDUKEMiamiMIA 96.5% DukeDUKEGeorgia TechGT 3.5%	1.8%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT	MiamiMIASMUSMU	1.8%
7-1 Georgia TechGT 6-2 DukeDUKE MiamiMIA SMUSMU	DukeDUKEGeorgia TechGT	1.8%
7-1 Georgia TechGT 6-2 PittsburghPITT SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	Georgia TechGTVirginiaUVA	1.7%
7-1 PittsburghPITT 6-2 Georgia TechGT SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	PittsburghPITTVirginiaUVA	1.6%
6-2 Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT SMUSMU	CCG participants not 100% certain Georgia TechGTMiamiMIA 47.2% MiamiMIAPittsburghPITT 32.0% MiamiMIASMUSMU 19.6%	1.3%
7-1 Georgia TechGT 6-2 MiamiMIA SMUSMU	Georgia TechGTSMUSMU	1.2%
7-1 PittsburghPITT 6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT SMUSMU	Georgia TechGTPittsburghPITT	0.9%
7-1 Georgia TechGT 6-2 DukeDUKE PittsburghPITT SMUSMU	DukeDUKEGeorgia TechGT	0.9%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT PittsburghPITT VirginiaUVA	SMUSMUVirginiaUVA	0.9%
7-1 Georgia TechGT 6-2 DukeDUKE MiamiMIA VirginiaUVA	Georgia TechGTVirginiaUVA	0.7%
6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT VirginiaUVA	DukeDUKEVirginiaUVA	0.7%
6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT PittsburghPITT SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	DukeDUKEVirginiaUVA	0.6%
7-1 Georgia TechGT 6-2 PittsburghPITT SMUSMU	CCG participants not 100% certain Georgia TechGTPittsburghPITT 65.9% Georgia TechGTSMUSMU 34.1%	0.6%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 Georgia TechGT PittsburghPITT VirginiaUVA	SMUSMUVirginiaUVA	0.6%
7-1 Georgia TechGT 6-2 DukeDUKE SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	Georgia TechGTVirginiaUVA	0.6%
7-1 PittsburghPITT 6-2 Georgia TechGT SMUSMU	Georgia TechGTPittsburghPITT	0.6%
6-2 Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT VirginiaUVA	MiamiMIAVirginiaUVA	0.4%
7-1 Georgia TechGT 6-2 MiamiMIA VirginiaUVA	Georgia TechGTVirginiaUVA	0.4%
6-2 Georgia TechGT PittsburghPITT SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	CCG participants not 100% certain Georgia TechGTVirginiaUVA 87.3% PittsburghPITTVirginiaUVA 10.4% SMUSMUVirginiaUVA 2.3%	0.4%
7-1 Georgia TechGT 6-2 SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	Georgia TechGTVirginiaUVA	0.4%
7-1 Georgia TechGT 6-2 DukeDUKE PittsburghPITT VirginiaUVA	Georgia TechGTVirginiaUVA	0.4%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT PittsburghPITT	PittsburghPITTSMUSMU	0.3%
7-1 PittsburghPITT 6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT VirginiaUVA	PittsburghPITTVirginiaUVA	0.3%
6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT PittsburghPITT SMUSMU	DukeDUKEGeorgia TechGT	0.2%
7-1 Georgia TechGT 6-2 DukeDUKE MiamiMIA	DukeDUKEGeorgia TechGT	0.2%
7-1 PittsburghPITT 6-2 Georgia TechGT VirginiaUVA	PittsburghPITTVirginiaUVA	0.2%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 Georgia TechGT PittsburghPITT	PittsburghPITTSMUSMU	0.2%
6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT	DukeDUKEMiamiMIA	0.2%
7-1 Georgia TechGT 6-2 DukeDUKE SMUSMU	DukeDUKEGeorgia TechGT	0.2%
7-1 Georgia TechGT 6-2 PittsburghPITT VirginiaUVA	Georgia TechGTVirginiaUVA	0.2%
6-2 Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT	MiamiMIAPittsburghPITT	0.2%
7-1 PittsburghPITT 6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT	Georgia TechGTPittsburghPITT	0.1%
7-1 Georgia TechGT 6-2 DukeDUKE PittsburghPITT	DukeDUKEGeorgia TechGT	0.1%
6-2 Georgia TechGT PittsburghPITT SMUSMU	Georgia TechGTSMUSMU	0.1%
6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT PittsburghPITT VirginiaUVA	PittsburghPITTVirginiaUVA	<0.1%
7-1 Georgia TechGT 6-2 DukeDUKE VirginiaUVA	Georgia TechGTVirginiaUVA	<0.1%
6-2 Georgia TechGT PittsburghPITT VirginiaUVA	PittsburghPITTVirginiaUVA	<0.1%
6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT PittsburghPITT	DukeDUKEPittsburghPITT	<0.1%

How Tiebreakers Work

Head-to-head → Common conference opponents → Record against next-best common opponent → Strength of schedule

Some tiebreaker steps involve factors like point differential that cannot be predicted before games are played, leading to uncertain outcomes.