Mid-American Conference Tiebreaker Scenarios

Scenarios where tiebreakers determine conference championship game participants

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20 of 20 scenarios

Scenario	CCG Matchup	Probability
7-2 Miami (OH)M-OH OhioOHIO ToledoTOL Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain Miami (OH)M-OHWestern MichiganWMU 50.9% Miami (OH)M-OHToledoTOL 49.1%	14.0%
7-2 OhioOHIO ToledoTOL Western MichiganWMU	ToledoTOLWestern MichiganWMU	13.7%
8-1 Western MichiganWMU 7-2 Miami (OH)M-OH OhioOHIO ToledoTOL	ToledoTOLWestern MichiganWMU	11.7%
8-1 Western MichiganWMU 7-2 OhioOHIO ToledoTOL	ToledoTOLWestern MichiganWMU	11.3%
7-2 Miami (OH)M-OH ToledoTOL Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain Miami (OH)M-OHToledoTOL 62.6% Miami (OH)M-OHWestern MichiganWMU 37.4%	5.5%
7-2 BuffaloBUF ToledoTOL Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain BuffaloBUFToledoTOL 61.0% ToledoTOLWestern MichiganWMU 39.1%	5.0%
8-1 Western MichiganWMU 7-2 Miami (OH)M-OH ToledoTOL	ToledoTOLWestern MichiganWMU	4.6%
7-2 Miami (OH)M-OH OhioOHIO ToledoTOL	OhioOHIOToledoTOL	4.2%
8-1 Western MichiganWMU 7-2 BuffaloBUF ToledoTOL	ToledoTOLWestern MichiganWMU	4.1%
7-2 Central MichiganCMU Miami (OH)M-OH OhioOHIO Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain Miami (OH)M-OHWestern MichiganWMU 47.9% Miami (OH)M-OHOhioOHIO 38.8% Central MichiganCMUMiami (OH)M-OH 13.3%	2.1%
7-2 Central MichiganCMU OhioOHIO Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain OhioOHIOWestern MichiganWMU 57.3% Central MichiganCMUWestern MichiganWMU 42.7%	2.0%
8-1 Western MichiganWMU 7-2 Central MichiganCMU OhioOHIO	CCG participants not 100% certain Central MichiganCMUWestern MichiganWMU 62.7% OhioOHIOWestern MichiganWMU 37.3%	1.7%
8-1 Western MichiganWMU 7-2 Central MichiganCMU Miami (OH)M-OH OhioOHIO	Miami (OH)M-OHWestern MichiganWMU	1.6%
7-2 Miami (OH)M-OH OhioOHIO Western MichiganWMU	Miami (OH)M-OHWestern MichiganWMU	1.0%
7-2 Central MichiganCMU Miami (OH)M-OH Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain Central MichiganCMUMiami (OH)M-OH 51.8% Central MichiganCMUWestern MichiganWMU 48.1%	0.8%
8-1 Western MichiganWMU 7-2 Miami (OH)M-OH OhioOHIO	OhioOHIOWestern MichiganWMU	0.8%
7-2 BuffaloBUF Central MichiganCMU Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain Central MichiganCMUWestern MichiganWMU 53.1% BuffaloBUFCentral MichiganCMU 46.9%	0.7%
8-1 Western MichiganWMU 7-2 Central MichiganCMU Miami (OH)M-OH	Miami (OH)M-OHWestern MichiganWMU	0.7%
8-1 Western MichiganWMU 7-2 BuffaloBUF Central MichiganCMU	Central MichiganCMUWestern MichiganWMU	0.6%
7-2 Central MichiganCMU Miami (OH)M-OH OhioOHIO	CCG participants not 100% certain Miami (OH)M-OHOhioOHIO 92.1% Central MichiganCMUMiami (OH)M-OH 7.9%	0.6%

How Tiebreakers Work

Head-to-head → Common conference opponents → Next-highest opponent → Strength of schedule → Team Rating Score

Some tiebreaker steps involve factors like point differential that cannot be predicted before games are played, leading to uncertain outcomes.