Navy

NavyMidshipmen

8-2 T1st (6-1) in AAC

Data from 2025-11-23 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

24.5%

Based on 100,000 simulations

NavySchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/30
vsVMIVMI
W52-7
29/06
vsUABUAB
W38-24
39/13
@TulsaTLSA
W42-23
59/27
vsRiceRICE
W21-13
610/04
vsAir ForceAF
W34-31
710/11
@TempleTEM
W32-31
910/25
vsFL AtlanticFAU
W42-32
1011/01
@North TexasUNT
L17-31
1111/08
@Notre DameND
L10-49
1211/15
vsSouth FloridaUSF
W41-38
1411/27
@MemphisMEM
Win prob:21%
12/13
vsArmyARMY(N)
Win prob:44%

Data from 2025-11-23 • SportsSimulate.com

NavyRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-1
9.3%
100.0%
7-2
46.5%
28.7%
6-3
44.2%
4.1%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-11-23 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Navy CCG Opponents

if Navy makes the CCG

North TexasNorth Texas
85.2%
TulaneTulane
14.7%
South FloridaSouth Florida
0.2%

Data from 2025-11-23 • SportsSimulate.com

NavyThis Week's Impact

Game
NavyCCG OddsAway
NavyCCG OddsHome
CharlotteCLT@TulaneTULN
41.3%
(+16.8%)		23.9%
(-0.6%)
TempleTEM@North TexasUNT
69.9%
(+45.4%)		22.0%
(-2.5%)
UABUAB@TulsaTLSA
25.7%
(+1.2%)		22.9%
(-1.6%)
RiceRICE@South FloridaUSF
26.2%
(+1.7%)		24.5%
(-0.1%)
ArmyARMY@UT San AntonioUTSA
25.0%
(+0.5%)		24.0%
(-0.5%)
NavyNAVY@MemphisMEM
100.0%
(+75.5%)		4.1%
(-20.4%)
East CarolinaECU@FL AtlanticFAU
24.1%
(-0.4%)		26.7%
(+2.2%)

Best Winner Combination for Navy

NavyNavy

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 21.3%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Navy

NavyNavy

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 21.3%

Ways for Navy to Clinch American Athletic Conference CCG Spot This Week

NavyNavy
21.3%
TulaneTulaneTempleTempleUABUABSouth FloridaSouth Florida
2.9%
TulaneTulaneTempleTempleUABUABEast CarolinaEast Carolina
2.5%
TempleTempleSouth FloridaSouth FloridaFL AtlanticFlorida Atlantic
0.7%
CharlotteCharlotteNorth TexasNorth TexasTulsaTulsaArmyArmy
0.7%
CharlotteCharlotteTulsaTulsaArmyArmyFL AtlanticFlorida Atlantic
0.1%

Data from 2025-11-23 • SportsSimulate.com

NavyLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Navy CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
9.3%
Any 1 loss
28.7%
46.5%
Army
100.0%
11.9%
Memphis
4.0%
34.5%
ArmyMemphis
4.1%
44.2%

Data from 2025-11-23 • SportsSimulate.com

NavyCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11Week 12Week 13Week 14

Data from 2025-11-23 • SportsSimulate.com