Mid-American Conference Championship Probabilities

CCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team	8-0	7-1	6-2	5-3	Overall
OhioOHIO	-	99.7%	65.2%	1.7%	58.9%
Miami (OH)M-OH	100%	99.9%	57.5%	1.4%	51.9%
ToledoTOL	-	98.9%	32.9%	0.4%	36.2%
BuffaloBUF	100%	95.0%	18.5%	0.1%	24.7%
Bowling GreenBGSU	-	92.3%	14.2%	<0.1%	15.0%
Western MichiganWMU	100%	97.8%	31.9%	0.3%	8.1%
Northern IllinoisNIU	-	99.3%	25.4%	<0.1%	4.2%
Ball StateBALL	100%	95.7%	31.6%	0.2%	0.7%
Central MichiganCMU	-	87.2%	33.6%	0.1%	0.4%
Eastern MichiganEMU	-	-	77.8%	4.6%	<0.1%
AkronAKR	-	100%	25.7%	0.1%	<0.1%
MassachusettsMASS	-	100%	26.3%	0.6%	<0.1%
Kent StateKENT	-	-	-	-	-

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

Team	8-0	7-1	6-2	5-3	4-4	3-5	2-6	1-7	0-8	Avg Wins
OhioOHIO(1-1)	-	31.4%	41.7%	20.9%	5.2%	0.6%	<0.1%	0.0%	-	6.0
Miami (OH)M-OH(1-0)	5.1%	24.7%	37.7%	24.6%	6.9%	0.9%	<0.1%	0.0%	-	5.9
ToledoTOL(1-1)	-	22.2%	42.8%	27.5%	6.7%	0.7%	<0.1%	0.0%	-	5.8
BuffaloBUF(2-0)	2.7%	16.2%	35.3%	32.5%	11.7%	1.6%	<0.1%	-	-	5.6
Bowling GreenBGSU(0-1)	-	10.9%	34.6%	34.9%	15.6%	3.5%	0.4%	<0.1%	0.0%	5.3
Western MichiganWMU(2-0)	0.2%	2.9%	15.6%	35.4%	32.6%	11.9%	1.5%	-	-	4.6
Northern IllinoisNIU(0-1)	-	1.1%	11.7%	36.4%	34.4%	13.6%	2.5%	0.2%	<0.1%	4.4
Ball StateBALL(1-0)	0.0%	0.1%	1.8%	11.9%	33.4%	37.3%	14.0%	1.6%	-	3.5
Central MichiganCMU(1-1)	-	<0.1%	0.9%	7.5%	27.1%	40.7%	20.6%	3.2%	-	3.2
AkronAKR(1-1)	-	0.0%	0.2%	2.6%	16.9%	41.0%	32.4%	6.9%	-	2.8
MassachusettsMASS(0-1)	-	0.0%	<0.1%	0.9%	6.2%	21.7%	36.9%	27.4%	6.9%	2.0
Eastern MichiganEMU(0-2)	-	-	<0.1%	0.8%	5.8%	20.6%	35.6%	28.8%	8.6%	1.9
Kent StateKENT(0-1)	-	0.0%	0.0%	<0.1%	0.7%	5.8%	22.2%	41.8%	29.5%	1.1

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com