Rice

RiceOwls

0-0 T1st (0-0) in AAC

Data from 2024-08-23 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

1.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

RiceSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/31
vsSam Houston StSHSU
Win prob:40%
29/07
vsTexas SouthernTXSO
Win prob:90%
39/14
@HoustonHOU
Win prob:31%
49/21
@ArmyARMY
Win prob:28%
59/28
vsCharlotteCLT
Win prob:73%
710/12
vsUT San AntonioUTSA
Win prob:20%
810/19
@TulaneTULN
Win prob:15%
910/26
@UConnCONN
Win prob:64%
1011/02
vsNavyNAVY
Win prob:50%
1111/08
@MemphisMEM
Win prob:14%
1311/23
@UABUAB
Win prob:35%
1411/30
vsSouth FloridaUSF
Win prob:40%

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com

RiceRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0.0%
100.0%
7-1
0.1%
99.3%
6-2
1.3%
60.2%
5-3
6.4%
3.5%
4-4
18.5%
0%
3-5
30.3%
0%
2-6
28.2%
0%
1-7
13.0%
0%
0-8
2.2%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Rice CCG Opponents

if Rice makes the CCG

UTSAUT San Antonio
40.6%
MemphisMemphis
24.8%
TulaneTulane
21.8%
ArmyArmy
6.9%
North TexasNorth Texas
5.9%

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com

RiceThis Week's Impact

Game
RiceCCG OddsAway
RiceCCG OddsHome

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com

RiceLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Rice CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
<0.1%
<0.1%
Memphis
100.0%
<0.1%
Tulane
100.0%
<0.1%
Army
100.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston St
100.0%
<0.1%
UT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
70.2%
<0.1%
HoustonNavy
100.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaTulane
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphis
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphis
100.0%
<0.1%
TulaneUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyHouston
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyNavy
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StTulane
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonTulane
100.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonSam Houston St
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteMemphis
100.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaTexas Southern
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisNavy
100.0%
<0.1%
NavyUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmySam Houston St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
NavyTulane
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisSam Houston St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyTulane
80.0%
<0.1%
MemphisTulane
80.0%
<0.1%
UABUT San Antonio
75.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaUT San Antonio
66.7%
<0.1%
ArmySouth Florida
66.7%
<0.1%
ArmyUT San Antonio
50.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaUAB
50.0%
<0.1%
MemphisUT San Antonio
46.7%
<0.1%
MemphisUAB
33.3%
<0.1%
TulaneUT San Antonio
21.4%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
41.8%
0.5%
NavySam Houston StTulane
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonSam Houston StTulane
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonNavyTulane
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonSam Houston St
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonNavyUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisTexas SouthernTulane
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisSam Houston StSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonSouth FloridaUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonUConnUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonSam Houston StUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisSam Houston St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyTexas SouthernUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonMemphis
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisSam Houston StUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmySam Houston StTexas Southern
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StUConnUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonSam Houston StUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmySouth FloridaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonSam Houston St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmySam Houston StSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
UABUConnUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmySam Houston StUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
TulaneUABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaTexas SouthernUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StTulaneUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonUABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonTulaneUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
NavySam Houston StSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyTulaneUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaUConnUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonTexas SouthernTulane
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonNavy
100.0%
<0.1%
NavySam Houston StUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonSam Houston StSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyTexas SouthernTulane
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteSam Houston StTulane
100.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaTexas SouthernTulane
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteMemphisUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonNavy
100.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StSouth FloridaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteSam Houston StUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
NavyTexas SouthernUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonUABUT San Antonio
90.0%
<0.1%
ArmySam Houston StTulane
85.7%
<0.1%
MemphisSam Houston StUAB
83.3%
<0.1%
MemphisTulaneUConn
75.0%
<0.1%
MemphisNavyUConn
75.0%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonUAB
75.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonTulane
75.0%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonMemphis
69.2%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StTulaneUAB
66.7%
<0.1%
CharlotteMemphisSouth Florida
66.7%
<0.1%
ArmySam Houston StUAB
66.7%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisSam Houston St
62.5%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisNavy
62.5%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisSouth Florida
61.5%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisTulane
61.4%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonUT San Antonio
60.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StTulaneUT San Antonio
60.0%
<0.1%
MemphisSam Houston StUT San Antonio
58.3%
<0.1%
HoustonSouth FloridaTulane
57.1%
<0.1%
HoustonTulaneUT San Antonio
54.5%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisUAB
50.0%
<0.1%
MemphisSouth FloridaUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
ArmyUConnUT San Antonio
50.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StSouth FloridaTulane
50.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteSouth FloridaTulane
50.0%
<0.1%
ArmyNavySam Houston St
50.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteMemphisSam Houston St
50.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StUABUT San Antonio
50.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteUABUT San Antonio
50.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StSouth FloridaUAB
50.0%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonTulane
47.4%
<0.1%
HoustonTulaneUAB
44.4%
<0.1%
MemphisSam Houston StTulane
40.9%
<0.1%
TulaneUConnUT San Antonio
40.0%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisUT San Antonio
38.1%
<0.1%
MemphisUABUConn
33.3%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StSouth FloridaUT San Antonio
33.3%
<0.1%
HoustonSouth FloridaUT San Antonio
28.6%
<0.1%
CharlotteTulaneUAB
25.0%
<0.1%
ArmyTulaneUAB
22.2%
<0.1%
MemphisUConnUT San Antonio
20.0%
<0.1%
ArmySouth FloridaTulane
14.3%
<0.1%
ArmyUABUT San Antonio
12.5%
<0.1%
ArmySouth FloridaUT San Antonio
8.3%
<0.1%
MemphisTulaneUAB
6.7%
<0.1%
MemphisNavyTulane
4.8%
<0.1%
MemphisTulaneUT San Antonio
3.9%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisTulane
2.4%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
25.4%
1.6%
HoustonMemphisSouth FloridaTexas Southern
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonSam Houston StUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonSam Houston StUABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonSam Houston StUConnUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyCharlotteSam Houston StUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisSam Houston StUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonNavySam Houston StUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonSam Houston StSouth FloridaTexas Southern
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonSam Houston StTulaneUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonSam Houston StUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteSam Houston StTexas SouthernUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmySam Houston StTexas SouthernUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonSam Houston StUABUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisTexas SouthernUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonNavySam Houston StTexas Southern
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteTexas SouthernTulaneUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonMemphisUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StSouth FloridaUABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonSam Houston StSouth FloridaUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonSam Houston StUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonTexas SouthernUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonTulaneUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteMemphisSam Houston StUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmySam Houston StTulaneUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonSouth FloridaTexas Southern
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonNavyUABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisSam Houston StTexas SouthernUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StSouth FloridaUConnUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonUABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteMemphisSam Houston StTexas Southern
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonSam Houston StSouth FloridaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonNavyTulaneUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonNavyUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteSam Houston StSouth FloridaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmySam Houston StUABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmySam Houston StTexas SouthernTulane
100.0%
<0.1%
NavyTexas SouthernTulaneUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisSam Houston StTexas SouthernUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyNavySam Houston StTexas Southern
100.0%
<0.1%
Texas SouthernTulaneUConnUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisTexas SouthernUConnUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StSouth FloridaTexas SouthernTulane
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmySam Houston StTexas SouthernUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonSam Houston StUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonMemphisTexas Southern
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonSouth FloridaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonSouth FloridaTulaneUConn
85.7%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisNavyUConn
83.3%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisNavySam Houston St
80.0%
<0.1%
HoustonTulaneUABUConn
80.0%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonSam Houston StSouth Florida
80.0%
<0.1%
MemphisNavySam Houston StUConn
75.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonMemphisSam Houston St
75.0%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonMemphisSam Houston St
72.0%
<0.1%
MemphisSam Houston StUABUConn
71.4%
<0.1%
HoustonUABUConnUT San Antonio
71.4%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisUABUConn
70.0%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonTulaneUConn
70.0%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonUConnUT San Antonio
66.7%
<0.1%
HoustonNavyUConnUT San Antonio
66.7%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisTexas SouthernUAB
66.7%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisSam Houston StUConn
66.7%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonNavySam Houston St
66.7%
<0.1%
NavySam Houston StTexas SouthernUT San Antonio
66.7%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisSam Houston StSouth Florida
61.5%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisSam Houston StUAB
61.1%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StSouth FloridaTulaneUConn
60.0%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonMemphisUConn
60.0%
<0.1%
MemphisSam Houston StTulaneUConn
57.1%
<0.1%
HoustonNavySam Houston StUT San Antonio
57.1%
<0.1%
HoustonSouth FloridaUConnUT San Antonio
57.1%
<0.1%
HoustonSam Houston StTulaneUT San Antonio
56.8%
<0.1%
MemphisSam Houston StUConnUT San Antonio
54.5%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonSam Houston StTulane
52.2%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisSam Houston StTulane
50.0%
<0.1%
HoustonSam Houston StTulaneUAB
50.0%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisUConnUT San Antonio
50.0%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisTulaneUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
NavySam Houston StTulaneUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StUABUConnUT San Antonio
50.0%
<0.1%
HoustonSam Houston StSouth FloridaTulane
50.0%
<0.1%
HoustonNavySouth FloridaUAB
50.0%
<0.1%
ArmyNavyTexas SouthernTulane
50.0%
<0.1%
HoustonSouth FloridaUABUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonSouth FloridaTulane
50.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StTulaneUABUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
HoustonSam Houston StSouth FloridaUT San Antonio
50.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonTexas SouthernTulane
50.0%
<0.1%
ArmySam Houston StUConnUT San Antonio
50.0%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisSouth FloridaUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
HoustonNavySam Houston StSouth Florida
50.0%
<0.1%
Texas SouthernTulaneUABUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
NavySam Houston StSouth FloridaTulane
50.0%
<0.1%
MemphisSam Houston StTexas SouthernUT San Antonio
50.0%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonTexas SouthernUAB
50.0%
<0.1%
MemphisSam Houston StSouth FloridaUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
NavySam Houston StUConnUT San Antonio
50.0%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonSam Houston StUT San Antonio
46.7%
<0.1%
HoustonTulaneUConnUT San Antonio
46.2%
<0.1%
HoustonNavySam Houston StTulane
45.5%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisSam Houston StUT San Antonio
40.0%
<0.1%
ArmyNavySam Houston StSouth Florida
33.3%
<0.1%
Texas SouthernTulaneUABUT San Antonio
33.3%
<0.1%
ArmyCharlotteHoustonTulane
33.3%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StTulaneUConnUT San Antonio
33.3%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonTexas SouthernTulane
33.3%
<0.1%
ArmySam Houston StSouth FloridaUAB
25.0%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisTexas SouthernTulane
25.0%
<0.1%
ArmySam Houston StUABUT San Antonio
20.0%
<0.1%
ArmyCharlotteSam Houston StTulane
20.0%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisNavySouth Florida
20.0%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisTexas SouthernUT San Antonio
16.7%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonSouth FloridaUAB
16.7%
<0.1%
MemphisSouth FloridaUABUConn
16.7%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisSouth FloridaUConn
16.7%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisSam Houston StUAB
15.4%
<0.1%
HoustonNavySouth FloridaUT San Antonio
14.3%
<0.1%
HoustonNavyTulaneUAB
12.5%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonTulaneUAB
12.1%
<0.1%
ArmyTulaneUABUConn
11.1%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisNavyUAB
11.1%
<0.1%
NavySam Houston StTulaneUAB
11.1%
<0.1%
HoustonNavySouth FloridaTulane
10.0%
<0.1%
MemphisNavySam Houston StSouth Florida
10.0%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonNavyTulane
8.3%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisSouth FloridaTulane
7.4%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonNavyUT San Antonio
7.1%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonSouth FloridaUT San Antonio
7.1%
<0.1%
HoustonSouth FloridaTulaneUAB
6.3%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonMemphisNavy
5.9%
<0.1%
ArmySam Houston StTulaneUAB
5.9%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisUConnUT San Antonio
5.9%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonMemphisSouth Florida
5.6%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonTulaneUT San Antonio
5.5%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisSam Houston StTulane
5.4%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonMemphisTulane
4.8%
0.1%
ArmySam Houston StTulaneUT San Antonio
4.3%
<0.1%
MemphisSam Houston StSouth FloridaUT San Antonio
4.0%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisTulaneUAB
4.0%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonSouth FloridaTulane
3.9%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StTulaneUABUT San Antonio
3.3%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisUABUT San Antonio
2.5%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisNavyTulane
2.4%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisTulaneUT San Antonio
1.3%
0.1%

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com