Navy

NavyMidshipmen

0-0 T1st (0-0) in AAC

Data from 2024-08-23 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

4.0%

Based on 100,000 simulations

NavySchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/31
vsBucknellBUCK
Win prob:90%
29/07
vsTempleTEM
Win prob:85%
49/21
vsMemphisMEM
Win prob:30%
59/28
@UABUAB
Win prob:43%
610/05
@Air ForceAF
Win prob:18%
810/19
vsCharlotteCLT
Win prob:79%
910/26
vsNotre DameND(N)
Win prob:5%
1011/02
@RiceRICE
Win prob:50%
1111/09
@South FloridaUSF
Win prob:32%
1211/16
vsTulaneTULN
Win prob:31%
1411/29
@East CarolinaECU
Win prob:37%
12/14
vsArmyARMY(N)
Win prob:42%

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com

NavyRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0.1%
100.0%
8-1
0.9%
89.9%
7-2
4.5%
41.0%
6-3
13.6%
9.7%
5-4
24.7%
0.1%
4-5
27.8%
0%
3-6
19.4%
0%
2-7
7.6%
0%
1-8
1.5%
0%
0-9
0.1%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Navy CCG Opponents

if Navy makes the CCG

UTSAUT San Antonio
44.8%
TulaneTulane
22.4%
MemphisMemphis
20.1%
North TexasNorth Texas
6.6%
ArmyArmy
6.0%

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com

NavyThis Week's Impact

Game
NavyCCG OddsAway
NavyCCG OddsHome

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com

NavyLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Navy CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 1 loss
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
87.9%
0.2%
Air ForceNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceArmy
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyRice
100.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameRice
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
BucknellNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmySouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
East CarolinaNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyEast Carolina
100.0%
<0.1%
TulaneUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceRice
100.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyTulane
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphis
100.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameTemple
100.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameUAB
94.1%
<0.1%
MemphisNotre Dame
87.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceEast Carolina
85.7%
<0.1%
Notre DameTulane
82.1%
<0.1%
Air ForceTulane
75.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceMemphis
75.0%
<0.1%
MemphisUAB
50.0%
<0.1%
East CarolinaUAB
33.3%
<0.1%
RiceTulane
33.3%
<0.1%
MemphisSouth Florida
25.0%
<0.1%
East CarolinaMemphis
20.0%
<0.1%
East CarolinaTulane
20.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
61.7%
1.5%
Air ForceArmyNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceArmyEast Carolina
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceRiceTemple
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceArmyRice
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceCharlotteNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceArmyUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
BucknellNotre DameTulane
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceArmySouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceBucknellTulane
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceBucknellNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
BucknellMemphisNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceNotre DameTemple
100.0%
<0.1%
BucknellNotre DameUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmySouth FloridaUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyNotre DameTemple
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceBucknellEast Carolina
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceBucknellCharlotte
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyCharlotteNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameSouth FloridaTemple
100.0%
<0.1%
BucknellMemphisSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
BucknellEast CarolinaNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceArmyCharlotte
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyRiceUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceNotre DameSouth Florida
94.2%
<0.1%
ArmyNotre DameRice
94.1%
<0.1%
Air ForceNotre DameUAB
92.9%
<0.1%
Air ForceArmyMemphis
92.3%
<0.1%
ArmyNotre DameTulane
91.2%
<0.1%
Air ForceNotre DameRice
90.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceEast CarolinaNotre Dame
87.4%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisNotre Dame
85.7%
<0.1%
Air ForceMemphisNotre Dame
83.7%
0.1%
CharlotteNotre DameRice
83.3%
<0.1%
ArmyNotre DameUAB
82.3%
<0.1%
ArmyNotre DameSouth Florida
80.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceArmyTulane
78.6%
<0.1%
Air ForceNotre DameTulane
78.5%
0.1%
ArmyEast CarolinaNotre Dame
77.3%
<0.1%
Air ForceTulaneUAB
66.7%
<0.1%
Air ForceSouth FloridaUAB
62.5%
<0.1%
Air ForceMemphisRice
50.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceTempleUAB
50.0%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisSouth Florida
50.0%
<0.1%
ArmyEast CarolinaRice
50.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteNotre DameUAB
50.0%
<0.1%
ArmyEast CarolinaSouth Florida
50.0%
<0.1%
ArmyEast CarolinaMemphis
50.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceRiceSouth Florida
50.0%
<0.1%
East CarolinaNotre DameUAB
47.4%
<0.1%
Notre DameRiceUAB
46.2%
<0.1%
CharlotteEast CarolinaNotre Dame
44.4%
<0.1%
Notre DameRiceTulane
43.3%
<0.1%
MemphisNotre DameRice
41.4%
<0.1%
Notre DameRiceSouth Florida
40.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameTempleTulane
33.3%
<0.1%
Air ForceEast CarolinaSouth Florida
33.3%
<0.1%
CharlotteNotre DameTulane
33.3%
<0.1%
Air ForceMemphisUAB
33.3%
<0.1%
Air ForceMemphisSouth Florida
33.3%
<0.1%
Air ForceRiceUAB
33.3%
<0.1%
ArmyTulaneUAB
33.3%
<0.1%
East CarolinaNotre DameRice
31.3%
<0.1%
Notre DameSouth FloridaUAB
30.8%
<0.1%
East CarolinaNotre DameSouth Florida
28.9%
<0.1%
CharlotteNotre DameSouth Florida
28.6%
<0.1%
MemphisNotre DameUAB
28.1%
<0.1%
Notre DameTulaneUAB
27.0%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisUAB
25.0%
<0.1%
MemphisNotre DameSouth Florida
23.7%
<0.1%
Notre DameSouth FloridaTulane
20.9%
<0.1%
Air ForceEast CarolinaTulane
18.2%
<0.1%
East CarolinaMemphisNotre Dame
17.9%
<0.1%
CharlotteMemphisNotre Dame
16.7%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisTulane
16.7%
<0.1%
East CarolinaNotre DameTulane
15.4%
<0.1%
Air ForceRiceTulane
14.3%
<0.1%
MemphisNotre DameTemple
14.3%
<0.1%
MemphisNotre DameTulane
12.5%
<0.1%
Air ForceMemphisTulane
5.3%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
38.0%
4.3%
Air ForceArmyCharlotteNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceBucknellNotre DameRice
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceBucknellNotre DameSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceBucknellMemphisNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyBucknellMemphisNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyBucknellNotre DameUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyBucknellNotre DameRice
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceArmyBucknellNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceBucknellEast CarolinaNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyBucknellMemphisTemple
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceArmyEast CarolinaTemple
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceArmyBucknellSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceArmyBucknellRice
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceArmyBucknellEast Carolina
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyBucknellNotre DameSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceArmyTempleTulane
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceArmyBucknellMemphis
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceArmyCharlotteRice
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceBucknellMemphisRice
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceCharlotteNotre DameTemple
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceBucknellCharlotteUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
BucknellCharlotteMemphisNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyBucknellCharlotteNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceBucknellCharlotteNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceArmyNotre DameUAB
97.6%
<0.1%
Air ForceArmyNotre DameSouth Florida
95.0%
0.1%
Air ForceArmyEast CarolinaNotre Dame
93.1%
0.1%
Air ForceBucknellNotre DameUAB
92.9%
<0.1%
Air ForceArmyNotre DameRice
92.8%
<0.1%
Air ForceArmyNotre DameTemple
92.3%
<0.1%
Air ForceBucknellNotre DameTulane
88.9%
<0.1%
Air ForceArmyNotre DameTulane
83.3%
0.1%
ArmyBucknellNotre DameTulane
83.3%
<0.1%
Air ForceArmyMemphisNotre Dame
82.6%
0.2%
Air ForceCharlotteNotre DameUAB
66.7%
<0.1%
ArmyCharlotteEast CarolinaNotre Dame
66.7%
<0.1%
Air ForceArmyRiceTemple
66.7%
<0.1%
BucknellEast CarolinaMemphisNotre Dame
66.7%
<0.1%
Air ForceCharlotteEast CarolinaNotre Dame
61.5%
<0.1%
Air ForceCharlotteNotre DameRice
56.3%
<0.1%
Air ForceNotre DameTempleUAB
56.3%
<0.1%
Air ForceArmyCharlotteSouth Florida
50.0%
<0.1%
ArmyCharlotteNotre DameSouth Florida
50.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceNotre DameSouth FloridaTemple
50.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceArmyCharlotteEast Carolina
50.0%
<0.1%
ArmyNotre DameSouth FloridaTemple
50.0%
<0.1%
ArmyCharlotteNotre DameRice
50.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceNotre DameRiceUAB
44.8%
<0.1%
Air ForceArmyMemphisSouth Florida
43.8%
<0.1%
ArmyNotre DameRiceUAB
42.9%
<0.1%
Air ForceEast CarolinaNotre DameUAB
41.4%
<0.1%
Air ForceMemphisNotre DameTemple
41.2%
<0.1%
Air ForceCharlotteNotre DameSouth Florida
40.7%
<0.1%
ArmyEast CarolinaNotre DameRice
40.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceArmyRiceSouth Florida
40.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceNotre DameRiceSouth Florida
39.8%
0.1%
ArmyNotre DameRiceSouth Florida
39.3%
<0.1%
Air ForceArmyRiceTulane
37.5%
<0.1%
Air ForceArmyEast CarolinaRice
37.5%
<0.1%
ArmyNotre DameSouth FloridaUAB
37.1%
<0.1%
Air ForceNotre DameSouth FloridaUAB
36.9%
0.2%
ArmyEast CarolinaNotre DameUAB
35.7%
<0.1%
ArmyEast CarolinaNotre DameSouth Florida
34.0%
<0.1%
ArmyNotre DameTempleUAB
33.3%
<0.1%
BucknellEast CarolinaNotre DameRice
33.3%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisNotre DameTemple
33.3%
<0.1%
ArmyNotre DameRiceTulane
31.6%
<0.1%
Air ForceCharlotteNotre DameTulane
30.8%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisNotre DameUAB
29.3%
<0.1%
Air ForceNotre DameTulaneUAB
29.0%
0.1%
ArmyCharlotteNotre DameTulane
28.6%
<0.1%
Air ForceEast CarolinaNotre DameTemple
28.6%
<0.1%
Air ForceMemphisNotre DameUAB
27.6%
0.1%
Air ForceEast CarolinaNotre DameSouth Florida
27.5%
0.2%
ArmyCharlotteMemphisNotre Dame
27.3%
<0.1%
Air ForceEast CarolinaNotre DameRice
25.8%
<0.1%
BucknellNotre DameRiceTulane
25.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceNotre DameRiceTemple
25.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceNotre DameTempleTulane
25.0%
<0.1%
ArmyCharlotteNotre DameUAB
25.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceCharlotteMemphisNotre Dame
24.4%
<0.1%
ArmyNotre DameTulaneUAB
24.4%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisNotre DameRice
23.7%
<0.1%
Air ForceNotre DameSouth FloridaTulane
22.5%
0.2%
Air ForceNotre DameRiceTulane
22.3%
0.1%
BucknellMemphisNotre DameSouth Florida
22.2%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisNotre DameSouth Florida
21.8%
0.1%
ArmyNotre DameSouth FloridaTulane
21.5%
<0.1%
ArmyNotre DameTempleTulane
20.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceArmyEast CarolinaUAB
20.0%
<0.1%
ArmyEast CarolinaNotre DameTemple
20.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceArmyCharlotteTulane
20.0%
<0.1%
BucknellEast CarolinaNotre DameUAB
20.0%
<0.1%
BucknellEast CarolinaNotre DameTulane
20.0%
<0.1%
ArmyEast CarolinaNotre DameTulane
19.7%
<0.1%
Air ForceMemphisNotre DameRice
19.5%
<0.1%
Air ForceMemphisNotre DameSouth Florida
19.3%
0.2%
ArmyEast CarolinaMemphisNotre Dame
19.3%
<0.1%
Air ForceArmyMemphisUAB
18.8%
<0.1%
Air ForceEast CarolinaMemphisNotre Dame
18.7%
0.2%
Air ForceEast CarolinaNotre DameTulane
18.3%
0.2%
ArmyMemphisNotre DameTulane
17.8%
<0.1%
Air ForceArmyMemphisRice
16.7%
<0.1%
BucknellNotre DameSouth FloridaTulane
16.7%
<0.1%
Air ForceArmyEast CarolinaSouth Florida
15.4%
<0.1%
Air ForceArmyTulaneUAB
15.4%
<0.1%
Air ForceMemphisNotre DameTulane
12.8%
0.3%
Air ForceArmySouth FloridaTulane
11.1%
<0.1%
Air ForceArmyEast CarolinaMemphis
9.1%
<0.1%
CharlotteEast CarolinaNotre DameRice
8.3%
<0.1%
Air ForceArmyEast CarolinaTulane
7.7%
<0.1%
CharlotteNotre DameSouth FloridaTulane
7.1%
<0.1%
Air ForceArmyMemphisTulane
6.7%
<0.1%

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com