American Athletic Conference

American Athletic Conference Championship Probabilities

Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2024-08-23

American Athletic ConferenceConference Standings

T1UT San AntonioUTSA0-00-058.1%
T1TulaneTULN0-00-039.8%
T1MemphisMEM0-00-038.4%
T1North TexasUNT0-00-015.1%
T1ArmyARMY0-00-011.1%
T1South FloridaUSF0-00-010.8%
T1FL AtlanticFAU0-00-09.2%
T1East CarolinaECU0-00-08.1%
T1NavyNAVY0-00-04.0%
T1UABUAB0-00-03.8%
T1RiceRICE0-00-01.1%
T1TulsaTLSA0-00-00.5%
T1CharlotteCLT0-00-00.1%
T1TempleTEM0-00-0<0.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations • Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely American Athletic Conference CCG Matchups

118.1%
TulaneTULN
vs
UTSAUT San Antonio
216.9%
MemphisMEM
vs
UTSAUT San Antonio
38.3%
MemphisMEM
vs
TULNTulane
45.4%
North TexasUNT
vs
UTSAUT San Antonio
54.0%
South FloridaUSF
vs
UTSAUT San Antonio
63.9%
ArmyARMY
vs
UTSAUT San Antonio
73.5%
MemphisMEM
vs
UNTNorth Texas
83.4%
FL AtlanticFAU
vs
UTSAUT San Antonio
93.1%
North TexasUNT
vs
TULNTulane
102.8%
East CarolinaECU
vs
UTSAUT San Antonio
112.4%
ArmyARMY
vs
TULNTulane
122.2%
South FloridaUSF
vs
TULNTulane
132.2%
MemphisMEM
vs
USFSouth Florida
142.1%
ArmyARMY
vs
MEMMemphis
152.0%
FL AtlanticFAU
vs
TULNTulane

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact on American Athletic Conference CCG Odds

Current CCG Probability: 58.1%
Game
UT San AntonioCCG OddsAway
UT San AntonioCCG OddsHome

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com

American Athletic ConferenceCCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team9-08-18-07-27-16-36-25-45-3Overall
UT San AntonioUTSA--100%-96.8%-49.0%-1.3%58.1%
TulaneTULN--100%-90.0%-28.0%-0.3%39.8%
MemphisMEM--100%-99.2%-58.1%-3.7%38.4%
North TexasUNT--100%-99.7%-59.9%-2.8%15.1%
ArmyARMY100%90.6%-39.1%-8.6%-0.2%-11.1%
South FloridaUSF--100%-90.5%-29.4%-0.6%10.8%
FL AtlanticFAU--100%-89.2%-25.6%-0.3%9.2%
East CarolinaECU--100%-87.4%-22.7%-0.2%8.1%
NavyNAVY100%89.9%-41.0%-9.7%-0.1%-4.0%
UABUAB--100%-92.6%-33.0%-0.6%3.8%
RiceRICE--100%-99.3%-60.2%-3.5%1.1%
TulsaTLSA--100%-95.0%-43.0%-1.3%0.5%
CharlotteCLT----84.6%-53.3%-2.5%0.1%
TempleTEM----100%-42.1%-4.3%<0.1%

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com

American Athletic ConferenceFinal Record Distribution

Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record

Team9-08-18-07-27-16-36-25-45-34-54-43-63-52-72-61-81-70-90-8Avg Wins
UT San AntonioUTSA(0-0)-0.0%12.5%0.0%30.9%0.0%31.4%0.0%17.7%0.0%6.1%0.0%1.2%0.0%0.1%0.0%<0.1%-0.0%6.2
TulaneTULN(0-0)-0.0%8.1%0.0%25.0%0.0%32.6%0.0%22.6%0.0%9.2%0.0%2.2%0.0%0.3%0.0%<0.1%-0.0%5.9
MemphisMEM(0-0)-0.0%3.3%0.0%16.2%0.0%30.9%0.0%29.0%0.0%15.2%0.0%4.6%0.0%0.8%0.0%<0.1%-0.0%5.5
ArmyARMY(0-0)0.5%3.7%0.0%12.9%0.0%24.3%0.0%27.6%0.0%19.6%0.0%8.6%0.0%2.4%0.0%0.4%0.0%<0.1%0.0%5.2
South FloridaUSF(0-0)-0.0%0.7%0.0%5.3%0.0%17.7%0.0%29.2%0.0%27.1%0.0%14.7%0.0%4.5%0.0%0.7%-<0.1%4.6
FL AtlanticFAU(0-0)-0.0%0.5%0.0%4.9%0.0%16.6%0.0%28.7%0.0%27.7%0.0%15.7%0.0%5.1%0.0%0.8%-<0.1%4.5
North TexasUNT(0-0)-0.0%0.4%0.0%4.4%0.0%15.8%0.0%28.7%0.0%28.8%0.0%16.2%0.0%4.9%0.0%0.7%-<0.1%4.5
East CarolinaECU(0-0)-0.0%0.6%0.0%4.5%0.0%15.4%0.0%27.5%0.0%28.5%0.0%16.9%0.0%5.6%0.0%0.9%-<0.1%4.4
NavyNAVY(0-0)<0.1%0.9%0.0%4.5%0.0%13.6%0.0%24.7%0.0%27.8%0.0%19.4%0.0%7.6%0.0%1.5%0.0%<0.1%0.0%4.3
UABUAB(0-0)-0.0%<0.1%0.0%1.3%0.0%7.1%0.0%19.3%0.0%29.3%0.0%26.0%0.0%13.1%0.0%3.4%-0.4%3.7
RiceRICE(0-0)-0.0%<0.1%0.0%0.1%0.0%1.3%0.0%6.4%0.0%18.5%0.0%30.3%0.0%28.2%0.0%13.0%-2.2%2.7
TulsaTLSA(0-0)-0.0%0.0%0.0%<0.1%0.0%0.8%0.0%4.2%0.0%13.6%0.0%27.0%0.0%30.9%0.0%18.7%-4.6%2.4
CharlotteCLT(0-0)-0.0%0.0%0.0%<0.1%0.0%0.2%0.0%1.2%0.0%5.9%0.0%17.3%0.0%31.3%0.0%31.0%-13.2%1.8
TempleTEM(0-0)-0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%<0.1%0.0%0.2%0.0%1.9%0.0%9.3%0.0%26.5%0.0%39.0%-23.1%1.3

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com