Atlantic Coast Conference

Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Probabilities

Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2024-10-27

Atlantic Coast ConferenceConference Standings

T1ClemsonCLEM5-06-149.4%
T1Miami FLMIA4-08-082.0%
T1SMUSMU4-07-154.1%
T1PittsburghPITT3-07-05.1%
5Virginia TechVT3-15-38.6%
6LouisvilleLOU3-25-30.8%
T7Georgia TechGT3-35-4-
T7DukeDUKE2-26-20.1%
T7SyracuseSYR2-25-2-
T7Wake ForestWAKE2-24-4-
11VirginiaUVA2-34-4-
T12Boston CollegeBC1-34-4-
T12NC StateNCSU1-34-4-
T12North CarolinaUNC1-34-4-
15StanfordSTAN1-42-6-
16Florida StFSU1-61-7-
17CaliforniaCAL0-44-4-

Based on 100,000 simulations • Data from 2024-10-27 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Atlantic Coast Conference CCG Matchups

137.8%
Miami FLMIA
vs
SMUSMU
234.6%
ClemsonCLEM
vs
MIAMiami FL
313.3%
ClemsonCLEM
vs
SMUSMU
46.0%
Miami FLMIA
vs
VTVirginia Tech
53.1%
Miami FLMIA
vs
PITTPittsburgh
61.8%
SMUSMU
vs
VTVirginia Tech
70.9%
ClemsonCLEM
vs
PITTPittsburgh
80.9%
PittsburghPITT
vs
SMUSMU
90.5%
ClemsonCLEM
vs
VTVirginia Tech
100.4%
LouisvilleLOU
vs
MIAMiami FL
110.2%
LouisvilleLOU
vs
SMUSMU
120.2%
PittsburghPITT
vs
VTVirginia Tech
13<0.1%
DukeDUKE
vs
SMUSMU
14<0.1%
ClemsonCLEM
vs
DUKEDuke
15<0.1%
ClemsonCLEM
vs
LOULouisville

Data from 2024-10-27 • SportsSimulate.com

Atlantic Coast ConferenceCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10

Data from 2024-10-27 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact on Atlantic Coast Conference CCG Odds

Current CCG Probability: 82.0%
Game
Miami FLCCG OddsAway
Miami FLCCG OddsHome
Virginia TechVT@SyracuseSYR
81.7%
(-0.4%)		83.8%
(+1.8%)
North CarolinaUNC@Florida StFSU
82.0%
(+0.1%)		82.0%
(-0.1%)
LouisvilleLOU@ClemsonCLEM
92.6%
(+10.6%)		79.3%
(-2.8%)
DukeDUKE@Miami FLMIA
39.9%
(-42.1%)		89.9%
(+7.9%)
PittsburghPITT@SMUSMU
87.1%
(+5.1%)		80.8%
(-1.2%)
StanfordSTAN@NC StateNCSU
81.4%
(-0.6%)		82.1%
(+0.1%)

Best Winner Combination for Miami FL

SyracuseSyracuseNorth CarolinaNorth CarolinaLouisvilleLouisvilleMiami FLMiamiPittsburghPittsburghStanfordStanford

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Miami FL

Miami FLMiami

CCG: 89.9% • Scenario: 84.2%

Data from 2024-10-27 • SportsSimulate.com

Atlantic Coast ConferenceCCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team8-07-16-2Overall
Miami FLMIA99.8%66.3%4.0%82.0%
SMUSMU80.9%36.7%1.3%54.1%
ClemsonCLEM93.5%24.9%0.3%49.4%
Virginia TechVT-57.6%0.9%8.6%
PittsburghPITT100%62.5%1.5%5.1%
LouisvilleLOU--5.5%0.8%
DukeDUKE--3.7%0.1%
Boston CollegeBC----
CaliforniaCAL----
Florida StFSU----
Georgia TechGT----
NC StateNCSU----
North CarolinaUNC----
StanfordSTAN----
SyracuseSYR----
VirginiaUVA----
Wake ForestWAKE----

Data from 2024-10-27 • SportsSimulate.com

Atlantic Coast ConferenceFinal Record Distribution

Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record

Team8-07-16-25-34-43-52-61-70-8Avg Wins
Miami FLMIA(4-0)59.6%33.7%6.3%0.5%<0.1%----7.5
SMUSMU(4-0)48.9%39.2%10.7%1.2%<0.1%----7.4
ClemsonCLEM(5-0)41.2%43.3%14.1%1.4%-----7.2
Virginia TechVT(3-1)-14.3%43.3%34.3%7.6%0.5%---5.6
PittsburghPITT(3-0)0.6%6.6%26.5%41.7%21.8%3.0%---5.1
LouisvilleLOU(3-2)--13.5%58.7%25.9%1.9%---4.8
DukeDUKE(2-2)--3.5%25.8%43.0%23.8%4.0%--4.0
Georgia TechGT(3-3)---14.4%62.2%23.3%---3.9
North CarolinaUNC(1-3)---17.2%39.7%31.9%10.2%1.0%-3.6
CaliforniaCAL(0-4)----17.6%57.1%22.5%2.7%<0.1%2.9
NC StateNCSU(1-3)---2.7%18.0%41.2%33.3%4.8%-2.8
SyracuseSYR(2-2)--<0.1%1.3%11.8%41.3%45.5%--2.7
Wake ForestWAKE(2-2)--<0.1%1.1%11.0%39.3%48.6%--2.6
Boston CollegeBC(1-3)---0.9%12.2%36.8%38.7%11.5%-2.5
VirginiaUVA(2-3)---0.2%4.1%29.0%66.8%--2.4
Florida StFSU(1-6)------50.6%49.4%-1.5
StanfordSTAN(1-4)----<0.1%2.3%24.0%73.7%-1.3

Data from 2024-10-27 • SportsSimulate.com