Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
2.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | W62-0 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | W49-14 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | W31-19 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | L24-31 | |
| 6 | 10/05 | L27-34 | |
| 7 | 10/12 | W24-20 | |
| 8 | 10/19 | L45-52 | |
| 9 | 10/25 | W31-27 | |
| 10 | 11/02 | W33-21 | |
| 12 | 11/16 | Win prob:95% | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:80% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:68% |
Data from 2024-11-03
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | 75.7% | 2.6% |
| 5-3 | 23.3% | 0% |
| 4-4 | 1.0% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-11-03
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2024-11-03
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8% (-1.2%) | 4.0% (+2.1%) | |
| 2.0% (-0.0%) | 2.1% (+0.1%) | |
| 1.4% (-0.6%) | 4.9% (+2.9%) | |
| 1.9% (-0.1%) | 2.1% (+0.1%) | |
| 1.7% (-0.3%) | 2.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 1.9% (-0.1%) | 2.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 2.0% (+0.0%) | 2.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Virginia Tech
Georgia Tech
Duke
Florida State
Boston College
VirginiaCCG: 25.0% • Scenario: 0.0%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
Virginia TechCCG: 4.0% • Scenario: 36.4%
Data from 2024-11-03
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
2.6%
51.6%
2.6%
24.1%Data from 2024-11-03
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-11-03