Atlantic Coast Conference Tiebreaker Scenarios

Scenarios where tiebreakers determine conference championship game participants

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50 of 58 scenarios

Scenario	CCG Matchup	Probability
8-0 MiamiMIA SMUSMU 7-1 ClemsonCLEM	MiamiMIASMUSMU	3.5%
8-0 MiamiMIA 7-1 ClemsonCLEM SMUSMU	CCG participants not 100% certain MiamiMIASMUSMU 99.8%	1.7%
8-0 SMUSMU 7-1 ClemsonCLEM MiamiMIA	CCG participants not 100% certain MiamiMIASMUSMU 99.7%	1.2%
7-1 ClemsonCLEM MiamiMIA SMUSMU	MiamiMIASMUSMU	0.6%
8-0 MiamiMIA 6-2 ClemsonCLEM LouisvilleLOU SMUSMU	CCG participants not 100% certain LouisvilleLOUMiamiMIA 85.9% MiamiMIASMUSMU 14.1%	0.5%
8-0 MiamiMIA 6-2 ClemsonCLEM LouisvilleLOU SMUSMU Virginia TechVT	LouisvilleLOUMiamiMIA	0.3%
8-0 SMUSMU 6-2 ClemsonCLEM LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA	LouisvilleLOUSMUSMU	0.2%
8-0 MiamiMIA SMUSMU 7-1 PittsburghPITT	MiamiMIASMUSMU	0.2%
7-1 MiamiMIA 6-2 ClemsonCLEM LouisvilleLOU SMUSMU	CCG participants not 100% certain LouisvilleLOUMiamiMIA 87.3% MiamiMIASMUSMU 12.8%	0.1%
8-0 SMUSMU 6-2 ClemsonCLEM LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA Virginia TechVT	LouisvilleLOUSMUSMU	0.1%
8-0 MiamiMIA 6-2 ClemsonCLEM LouisvilleLOU PittsburghPITT SMUSMU	CCG participants not 100% certain LouisvilleLOUMiamiMIA 98.3% MiamiMIAPittsburghPITT 1.7%	0.1%
8-0 MiamiMIA 7-1 PittsburghPITT SMUSMU	MiamiMIASMUSMU	0.1%
7-1 MiamiMIA 6-2 ClemsonCLEM LouisvilleLOU SMUSMU Virginia TechVT	LouisvilleLOUMiamiMIA	0.1%
8-0 MiamiMIA 6-2 ClemsonCLEM SMUSMU	CCG participants not 100% certain MiamiMIASMUSMU 98.9% ClemsonCLEMMiamiMIA 1.1%	<0.1%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 ClemsonCLEM LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA	CCG participants not 100% certain LouisvilleLOUSMUSMU 96.8% MiamiMIASMUSMU 3.2%	<0.1%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 ClemsonCLEM LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA Virginia TechVT	CCG participants not 100% certain LouisvilleLOUSMUSMU 91.5% MiamiMIASMUSMU 8.5%	<0.1%
8-0 MiamiMIA 6-2 ClemsonCLEM PittsburghPITT SMUSMU	CCG participants not 100% certain MiamiMIASMUSMU 86.5% MiamiMIAPittsburghPITT 13.5%	<0.1%
8-0 MiamiMIA 6-2 LouisvilleLOU SMUSMU	MiamiMIASMUSMU	<0.1%
8-0 SMUSMU 6-2 ClemsonCLEM LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT	CCG participants not 100% certain LouisvilleLOUSMUSMU 81.4% PittsburghPITTSMUSMU 18.6%	<0.1%
8-0 SMUSMU 7-1 MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT	PittsburghPITTSMUSMU	<0.1%
7-1 MiamiMIA 6-2 ClemsonCLEM LouisvilleLOU PittsburghPITT SMUSMU	CCG participants not 100% certain LouisvilleLOUMiamiMIA 93.8% MiamiMIAPittsburghPITT 6.3%	<0.1%
8-0 MiamiMIA 6-2 LouisvilleLOU SMUSMU Virginia TechVT	LouisvilleLOUMiamiMIA	<0.1%
8-0 MiamiMIA 6-2 ClemsonCLEM SMUSMU Virginia TechVT	MiamiMIAVirginia TechVT	<0.1%
8-0 MiamiMIA 6-2 LouisvilleLOU PittsburghPITT SMUSMU	MiamiMIASMUSMU	<0.1%
8-0 SMUSMU 6-2 ClemsonCLEM MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT	CCG participants not 100% certain PittsburghPITTSMUSMU 89.2% MiamiMIASMUSMU 10.8%	<0.1%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 ClemsonCLEM LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT	CCG participants not 100% certain LouisvilleLOUSMUSMU 65.4% PittsburghPITTSMUSMU 34.6%	<0.1%
8-0 MiamiMIA 6-2 ClemsonCLEM PittsburghPITT SMUSMU Virginia TechVT	CCG participants not 100% certain MiamiMIAPittsburghPITT 90.9% MiamiMIAVirginia TechVT 9.1%	<0.1%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 ClemsonCLEM MiamiMIA Virginia TechVT	CCG participants not 100% certain MiamiMIASMUSMU 61.5% SMUSMUVirginia TechVT 38.5%	<0.1%
8-0 SMUSMU 6-2 LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA	MiamiMIASMUSMU	<0.1%
7-1 ClemsonCLEM 6-2 LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA SMUSMU	ClemsonCLEMMiamiMIA	<0.1%
8-0 MiamiMIA 6-2 LouisvilleLOU PittsburghPITT SMUSMU Virginia TechVT	CCG participants not 100% certain LouisvilleLOUMiamiMIA 93.8% MiamiMIAPittsburghPITT 6.3%	<0.1%
7-1 MiamiMIA 6-2 ClemsonCLEM PittsburghPITT SMUSMU	CCG participants not 100% certain MiamiMIASMUSMU 75.0% MiamiMIAPittsburghPITT 25.0%	<0.1%
8-0 SMUSMU 6-2 ClemsonCLEM MiamiMIA	MiamiMIASMUSMU	<0.1%
7-1 MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT SMUSMU	CCG participants not 100% certain MiamiMIAPittsburghPITT 96.5% PittsburghPITTSMUSMU 3.5%	<0.1%
8-0 SMUSMU 6-2 ClemsonCLEM MiamiMIA Virginia TechVT	CCG participants not 100% certain SMUSMUVirginia TechVT 61.3% MiamiMIASMUSMU 35.5% ClemsonCLEMSMUSMU 3.2%	<0.1%
8-0 SMUSMU 6-2 ClemsonCLEM MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT Virginia TechVT	PittsburghPITTSMUSMU	<0.1%
7-1 MiamiMIA 6-2 ClemsonCLEM SMUSMU	MiamiMIASMUSMU	<0.1%
8-0 SMUSMU 6-2 LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT	CCG participants not 100% certain LouisvilleLOUSMUSMU 63.6% PittsburghPITTSMUSMU 36.4%	<0.1%
7-1 MiamiMIA 6-2 ClemsonCLEM SMUSMU Virginia TechVT	MiamiMIAVirginia TechVT	<0.1%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 ClemsonCLEM MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT	CCG participants not 100% certain PittsburghPITTSMUSMU 93.8% MiamiMIASMUSMU 6.3%	<0.1%
7-1 MiamiMIA 6-2 LouisvilleLOU PittsburghPITT SMUSMU	MiamiMIASMUSMU	<0.1%
8-0 SMUSMU 6-2 LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT Virginia TechVT	CCG participants not 100% certain LouisvilleLOUSMUSMU 90.0% PittsburghPITTSMUSMU 10.0%	<0.1%
8-0 SMUSMU 6-2 LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA Virginia TechVT	MiamiMIASMUSMU	<0.1%
7-1 MiamiMIA 6-2 LouisvilleLOU SMUSMU	MiamiMIASMUSMU	<0.1%
6-2 ClemsonCLEM LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA SMUSMU Virginia TechVT	CCG participants not 100% certain LouisvilleLOUMiamiMIA 80.0% LouisvilleLOUVirginia TechVT 10.0% ClemsonCLEMLouisvilleLOU 10.0%	<0.1%
8-0 MiamiMIA 6-2 ClemsonCLEM LouisvilleLOU Virginia TechVT	LouisvilleLOUMiamiMIA	<0.1%
8-0 MiamiMIA 6-2 PittsburghPITT SMUSMU Virginia TechVT	CCG participants not 100% certain MiamiMIAVirginia TechVT 90.0% MiamiMIAPittsburghPITT 10.0%	<0.1%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA	MiamiMIASMUSMU	<0.1%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 ClemsonCLEM MiamiMIA	MiamiMIASMUSMU	<0.1%
6-2 ClemsonCLEM LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA SMUSMU	LouisvilleLOUMiamiMIA	<0.1%

How Tiebreakers Work

Head-to-head → Common conference opponents → Record against next-best common opponent → Strength of schedule

Some tiebreaker steps involve factors like point differential that cannot be predicted before games are played, leading to uncertain outcomes.