Atlantic Coast Conference

Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Probabilities

Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2024-11-03

Atlantic Coast ConferenceConference Standings

T1Miami FLMIA5-09-097.7%
T1SMUSMU5-08-196.3%
3ClemsonCLEM5-16-23.1%
4PittsburghPITT3-17-10.8%
5LouisvilleLOU4-26-32.0%
T6Virginia TechVT3-25-40.1%
T6SyracuseSYR3-26-2<0.1%
T8Georgia TechGT3-35-4-
T8Wake ForestWAKE2-24-4-
T10DukeDUKE2-36-3-
T10NC StateNCSU2-35-4-
T10North CarolinaUNC2-35-4-
T10VirginiaUVA2-34-4-
14Boston CollegeBC1-34-4-
15StanfordSTAN1-52-7-
16Florida StFSU1-71-8-
17CaliforniaCAL0-44-4-

Based on 100,000 simulations • Data from 2024-11-03 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Atlantic Coast Conference CCG Matchups

194.0%
Miami FLMIA
vs
SMUSMU
22.0%
ClemsonCLEM
vs
MIAMiami FL
31.3%
LouisvilleLOU
vs
MIAMiami FL
41.1%
ClemsonCLEM
vs
SMUSMU
50.7%
LouisvilleLOU
vs
SMUSMU
60.5%
PittsburghPITT
vs
SMUSMU
70.3%
Miami FLMIA
vs
PITTPittsburgh
80.1%
Miami FLMIA
vs
VTVirginia Tech
9<0.1%
SMUSMU
vs
VTVirginia Tech
10-
SMUSMU
vs
SYRSyracuse
11-
SyracuseSYR
vs
VTVirginia Tech
12-
PittsburghPITT
vs
VTVirginia Tech
13-
LouisvilleLOU
vs
PITTPittsburgh
14-
LouisvilleLOU
vs
VTVirginia Tech
15-
ClemsonCLEM
vs
LOULouisville

Data from 2024-11-03 • SportsSimulate.com

Atlantic Coast ConferenceCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11

Data from 2024-11-03 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact on Atlantic Coast Conference CCG Odds

Current CCG Probability: 97.7%
Game
Miami FLCCG OddsAway
Miami FLCCG OddsHome
ClemsonCLEM@Virginia TechVT
97.6%
(-0.1%)		97.9%
(+0.2%)
CaliforniaCAL@Wake ForestWAKE
97.7%
(+0.0%)		97.5%
(-0.1%)
Miami FLMIA@Georgia TechGT
99.7%
(+2.0%)		88.7%
(-9.0%)
DukeDUKE@NC StateNCSU
97.7%
(+0.0%)		97.7%
(-0.0%)
Florida StFSU@Notre DameND
97.5%
(-0.2%)		97.7%
(+0.0%)
SyracuseSYR@Boston CollegeBC
97.7%
(+0.1%)		97.7%
(-0.0%)
VirginiaUVA@PittsburghPITT
98.2%
(+0.5%)		97.5%
(-0.1%)

Best Winner Combination for Miami FL

Virginia TechVirginia TechWake ForestWake ForestFlorida StFlorida State

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.1%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Miami FL

Miami FLMiami

CCG: 99.7% • Scenario: 82.0%

Ways for Miami FL to Clinch Atlantic Coast Conference CCG Spot This Week

Virginia TechVirginia TechMiami FLMiamiDukeDukeSyracuseSyracuseVirginiaVirginia
1.2%
Wake ForestWake ForestMiami FLMiamiDukeDukeNotre DameNotre DameSyracuseSyracuseVirginiaVirginia
0.6%
Virginia TechVirginia TechWake ForestWake ForestMiami FLMiamiSyracuseSyracuseVirginiaVirginia
0.4%
ClemsonClemsonMiami FLMiamiNC StateNC StateFlorida StFlorida StatePittsburghPittsburgh
0.4%
Miami FLMiamiNC StateNC StateFlorida StFlorida StateSyracuseSyracuse
0.3%
Virginia TechVirginia TechMiami FLMiamiDukeDukeFlorida StFlorida StateBoston CollegeBoston College
0.2%
Wake ForestWake ForestMiami FLMiamiNC StateNC StateFlorida StFlorida State
0.2%
CaliforniaCaliforniaMiami FLMiamiDukeDukeFlorida StFlorida StateVirginiaVirginia
0.1%
Virginia TechVirginia TechWake ForestWake ForestFlorida StFlorida State
0.1%
Virginia TechVirginia TechMiami FLMiamiFlorida StFlorida StateVirginiaVirginia
0.1%

+2 more clinching scenarios

Data from 2024-11-03 • SportsSimulate.com

Atlantic Coast ConferenceCCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team8-07-16-2Overall
Miami FLMIA100%98.6%10.5%97.7%
SMUSMU100%99.6%11.3%96.3%
ClemsonCLEM-6.2%<0.1%3.1%
LouisvilleLOU--2.6%2.0%
PittsburghPITT-27.3%1.3%0.8%
Virginia TechVT--0.8%0.1%
SyracuseSYR--1.6%<0.1%
Boston CollegeBC----
CaliforniaCAL----
DukeDUKE----
Florida StFSU----
Georgia TechGT----
NC StateNCSU----
North CarolinaUNC----
StanfordSTAN----
VirginiaUVA----
Wake ForestWAKE----

Data from 2024-11-03 • SportsSimulate.com

Atlantic Coast ConferenceFinal Record Distribution

Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record

Team8-07-16-25-34-43-52-61-70-8Avg Wins
Miami FLMIA(5-0)73.1%24.7%2.2%<0.1%-----7.7
SMUSMU(5-0)65.6%30.4%3.8%0.1%-----7.6
ClemsonCLEM(5-1)-49.7%42.5%7.8%-----6.4
LouisvilleLOU(4-2)--75.7%23.3%1.0%----5.7
Virginia TechVT(3-2)--17.7%47.7%31.4%3.2%---4.8
PittsburghPITT(3-1)-2.1%17.2%44.4%31.0%5.3%---4.8
North CarolinaUNC(2-3)---41.5%43.3%14.0%1.3%--4.2
Georgia TechGT(3-3)---11.4%58.9%29.7%---3.8
DukeDUKE(2-3)---17.3%43.2%32.6%6.9%--3.7
SyracuseSYR(3-2)--0.4%7.9%41.6%50.0%---3.6
NC StateNCSU(2-3)---5.1%26.8%44.8%23.2%--3.1
CaliforniaCAL(0-4)----14.7%58.6%23.8%2.9%<0.1%2.8
Wake ForestWAKE(2-2)--<0.1%1.0%10.2%39.4%49.4%--2.6
Boston CollegeBC(1-3)---0.6%10.2%35.3%40.3%13.6%-2.4
VirginiaUVA(2-3)---0.2%4.4%31.0%64.4%--2.4
StanfordSTAN(1-5)-----0.2%8.7%91.1%-1.1
Florida StFSU(1-7)-------100%-1.0

Data from 2024-11-03 • SportsSimulate.com