Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
3.1%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | L3-34 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | W66-20 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | W59-35 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | W40-14 | |
| 6 | 10/05 | W29-13 | |
| 7 | 10/12 | W49-14 | |
| 8 | 10/19 | W48-31 | |
| 10 | 11/02 | L21-33 | |
| 11 | 11/09 | Win prob:64% | |
| 12 | 11/16 | Win prob:78% | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:90% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:59% |
Data from 2024-11-03
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 | 49.7% | 6.2% |
| 6-2 | 42.5% | 0.0% |
| 5-3 | 7.8% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-11-03
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2024-11-03
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 4.8% (+1.8%) | 0.0% (-3.1%) | |
| 3.0% (-0.0%) | 3.2% (+0.2%) | |
| 2.1% (-0.9%) | 7.4% (+4.3%) | |
| 3.1% (+0.1%) | 3.0% (-0.1%) | |
| 2.4% (-0.7%) | 3.1% (+0.0%) | |
| 3.1% (+0.1%) | 3.0% (-0.0%) | |
| 3.1% (+0.0%) | 3.1% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Clemson
Wake Forest
Georgia Tech
Duke
Florida State
SyracuseCCG: 30.0% • Scenario: 0.0%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
ClemsonCCG: 4.8% • Scenario: 63.6%
Data from 2024-11-03
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
6.2%
26.3%Any 1 loss
6.2%
21.5%
6.2%
18.5%
6.0%
2.9%5.7%
2.0%Data from 2024-11-03
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-11-03