Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.8%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | W55-24 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | W28-27 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | W38-34 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | W73-17 | |
| 6 | 10/05 | W34-24 | |
| 7 | 10/12 | W17-15 | |
| 9 | 10/24 | W41-13 | |
| 10 | 11/02 | L25-48 | |
| 11 | 11/09 | Win prob:80% | |
| 12 | 11/16 | Win prob:22% | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:20% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:58% |
Data from 2024-11-03
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 | 2.1% | 27.3% |
| 6-2 | 17.2% | 1.3% |
| 5-3 | 44.4% | 0% |
| 4-4 | 31.0% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 5.3% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-11-03
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2024-11-03
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7% (-0.1%) | 1.0% (+0.2%) | |
| 0.8% (+0.0%) | 0.8% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.4% (-0.4%) | 2.8% (+2.0%) | |
| 0.8% (-0.0%) | 0.8% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.9% (+0.1%) | 0.8% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.9% (+0.1%) | 0.7% (-0.1%) | |
| 0.1% (-0.7%) | 1.0% (+0.2%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Virginia Tech
California
Georgia Tech
Duke
Florida State
Boston CollegePittsburghCCG: 15.2% • Scenario: 0.0%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
Georgia TechPittsburghCCG: 3.4% • Scenario: 14.3%
Data from 2024-11-03
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
27.3%
2.1%Any 1 loss
1.3%
17.2%2.9%
1.4%
2.5%
0.5%
1.6%
7.3%
0.7%
7.9%Data from 2024-11-03
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-11-03