Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | W38-22 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | W31-28 | |
| 4 | 9/20 | L24-26 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | W42-14 | |
| 6 | 10/04 | W44-41 | |
| 7 | 10/12 | W24-17 | |
| 9 | 10/24 | L13-41 | |
| 10 | 11/02 | W38-31 | |
| 11 | 11/09 | Win prob:37% | |
| 12 | 11/16 | Win prob:14% | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:53% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:8% |
Data from 2024-11-03
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | 0.4% | 1.6% |
| 5-3 | 7.9% | 0% |
| 4-4 | 41.6% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 50.0% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-11-03
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.1% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Virginia Tech
California
Georgia Tech
NC State
Florida StateSyracuse
PittsburghCCG: 5.0% • Scenario: 0.0%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
CaliforniaGeorgia TechSyracuseCCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 5.4%
Data from 2024-11-03
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
1.9%
0.2%
1.1%
0.2%Data from 2024-11-03
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-11-03