SMU

SMUMustangs

8-1 T1st (5-0) in ACC

Data from 2024-11-03 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

96.3%

Based on 100,000 simulations

SMUSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
08/24
@NevadaNEV
W29-24
18/31
vsHouston ChristianHCU
W59-7
29/06
vsBYUBYU
L15-18
49/21
vsTCUTCU
W66-42
59/28
vsFlorida StFSU
W42-16
610/05
@LouisvilleLOU
W34-27
810/19
@StanfordSTAN
W40-10
910/26
@DukeDUKE
W28-27
1011/02
vsPittsburghPITT
W48-25
1211/16
vsBoston CollegeBC
Win prob:93%
1311/23
@VirginiaUVA
Win prob:91%
1411/30
vsCaliforniaCAL
Win prob:78%

Data from 2024-11-03 • SportsSimulate.com

SMURecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
65.6%
100.0%
7-1
30.4%
99.6%
6-2
3.8%
11.3%
5-3
0.1%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-11-03 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely SMU CCG Opponents

if SMU makes the CCG

MiamiMiami FL
97.6%
ClemsonClemson
1.1%
LouisvilleLouisville
0.7%
PittsburghPittsburgh
0.5%
Virginia TechVirginia Tech
0.0%

Data from 2024-11-03 • SportsSimulate.com

SMUThis Week's Impact

Game
SMUCCG OddsAway
SMUCCG OddsHome
ClemsonCLEM@Virginia TechVT
96.1%
(-0.2%)		96.7%
(+0.4%)
CaliforniaCAL@Wake ForestWAKE
96.4%
(+0.0%)		96.2%
(-0.1%)
Miami FLMIA@Georgia TechGT
96.4%
(+0.1%)		95.9%
(-0.4%)
DukeDUKE@NC StateNCSU
96.3%
(-0.0%)		96.3%
(+0.0%)
Florida StFSU@Notre DameND
97.4%
(+1.0%)		96.3%
(-0.0%)
SyracuseSYR@Boston CollegeBC
96.2%
(-0.2%)		96.4%
(+0.1%)
VirginiaUVA@PittsburghPITT
96.4%
(+0.1%)		96.3%
(-0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for SMU

Virginia TechVirginia TechGeorgia TechGeorgia TechFlorida StFlorida State

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.1%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for SMU

Virginia TechVirginia TechMiami FLMiami

CCG: 96.9% • Scenario: 29.9%

Ways for SMU to Clinch Atlantic Coast Conference CCG Spot This Week

Virginia TechVirginia TechGeorgia TechGeorgia TechFlorida StFlorida State
0.1%
ClemsonClemsonNC StateNC StateFlorida StFlorida StateVirginiaVirginia
0.1%
Georgia TechGeorgia TechFlorida StFlorida StateSyracuseSyracusePittsburghPittsburgh
0.1%
Virginia TechVirginia TechCaliforniaCaliforniaDukeDukeFlorida StFlorida StateSyracuseSyracusePittsburghPittsburgh
0.1%

Data from 2024-11-03 • SportsSimulate.com

SMULoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
SMU CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
65.6%
Any 1 loss
99.5%
30.4%
Boston College
99.7%
5.1%
California
99.5%
18.7%
Virginia
99.5%
6.6%
Any 2 losses
11.2%
3.8%
Boston CollegeCalifornia
14.6%
1.4%
CaliforniaVirginia
9.4%
1.9%
Boston CollegeVirginia
8.4%
0.5%

Data from 2024-11-03 • SportsSimulate.com

SMUCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11

Data from 2024-11-03 • SportsSimulate.com