BaylorBears

5-4 T9th (3-3) in B12

Data from 2024-11-03 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.7%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/31	vsTarleton StateTAR	W45-3
2	9/07	@UtahUTAH	L12-23
3	9/14	vsAir ForceAF	W31-3
4	9/21	@ColoradoCOLO	L31-38
5	9/28	vsBYUBYU	L28-34
6	10/05	@Iowa StateISU	L21-43
8	10/19	@Texas TechTTU	W59-35
9	10/26	vsOklahoma StateOKST	W38-28
10	11/02	vsTCUTCU	W37-34
12	11/16	@West VirginiaWVU	Win prob:44%
13	11/23	@HoustonHOU	Win prob:69%
14	11/30	vsKansasKU	Win prob:47%

Data from 2024-11-03 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
6-3	14.2%	4.7%
5-4	40.7%	0%
4-5	35.9%	0%
3-6	9.2%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-11-03 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

56.1%

27.3%

9.1%

4.5%

3.0%

Data from 2024-11-03 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
Oklahoma StateOKST@TCUTCU	0.5% (-0.1%)	0.7% (+0.1%)
Iowa StateISU@KansasKU	0.4% (-0.3%)	1.3% (+0.7%)
UCFUCF@Arizona StateASU	0.7% (+0.1%)	0.6% (-0.1%)
West VirginiaWVU@CincinnatiCIN	0.8% (+0.1%)	0.6% (-0.1%)
BYUBYU@UtahUTAH	0.5% (-0.2%)	0.9% (+0.3%)
ColoradoCOLO@Texas TechTTU	0.5% (-0.2%)	0.9% (+0.2%)

Best Winner Combination for

TCU

Kansas

UCF

West Virginia

Utah

Texas Tech

CCG: 2.3% • Scenario: 1.2%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Kansas

CCG: 1.3% • Scenario: 33.1%

Data from 2024-11-03 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

4.7%

14.2%

Data from 2024-11-03 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2024-11-03 • SportsSimulate.com