Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | W40-0 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | W38-17 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | W20-12 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | L44-56 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | W24-7 | |
| 7 | 10/12 | W21-3 | |
| 8 | 10/19 | W52-44 | |
| 9 | 10/26 | W33-28 | |
| 10 | 11/02 | L36-44 | |
| 11 | 11/08 | W27-20 | |
| 12 | 11/16 | Win prob:92% | |
| 14 | 11/28 | Win prob:16% |
Data from 2024-11-10
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | 14.4% | 0.2% |
| 5-3 | 78.8% | 0% |
| 4-4 | 6.8% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-11-10
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.1%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.1% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Navy
East CarolinaMemphis
North Texas
South Florida
Florida AtlanticCCG: 0.3% • Scenario: 3.3%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
NavyEast CarolinaMemphisFlorida AtlanticCCG: 0.3% • Scenario: 10.6%
Data from 2024-11-10
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-11-10