Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
86.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/29 | W52-0 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | L27-34 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | L19-34 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | W41-33 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | W45-10 | |
| 6 | 10/05 | W71-20 | |
| 8 | 10/19 | W24-10 | |
| 9 | 10/26 | W45-37 | |
| 10 | 10/31 | W34-3 | |
| 11 | 11/09 | W52-6 | |
| 12 | 11/16 | Win prob:77% | |
| 14 | 11/28 | Win prob:84% |
Data from 2024-11-10
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 8-0 | 64.9% | 100.0% |
| 7-1 | 31.5% | 67.3% |
| 6-2 | 3.7% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-11-10
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 100.0% (+14.0%) | 39.7% (-46.3%) | |
| 86.0% (-0.1%) | 86.8% (+0.7%) | |
| 86.1% (+0.1%) | 86.0% (-0.0%) | |
| 86.1% (+0.0%) | 86.0% (-0.0%) | |
| 86.1% (+0.1%) | 85.9% (-0.1%) | |
| 85.9% (-0.2%) | 86.3% (+0.2%) |
Best Winner Combination for
TulaneCCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 76.9%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
TulaneCCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 76.9%
Ways for to Clinch 
CCG Spot This Week
TulaneData from 2024-11-10
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
100.0%
64.9%Any 1 loss
67.3%
31.5%
100.0%
12.0%
47.2%
19.5%Data from 2024-11-10
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-11-10