Atlantic Coast Conference Tiebreaker Scenarios

Scenarios where tiebreakers determine conference championship game participants

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18 of 18 scenarios

Scenario	CCG Matchup	Probability
8-0 SMUSMU 7-1 ClemsonCLEM MiamiMIA	MiamiMIASMUSMU	10.3%
7-1 ClemsonCLEM MiamiMIA SMUSMU	MiamiMIASMUSMU	4.8%
8-0 SMUSMU 6-2 ClemsonCLEM LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA	LouisvilleLOUSMUSMU	1.1%
7-1 MiamiMIA 6-2 ClemsonCLEM LouisvilleLOU SMUSMU	CCG participants not 100% certain LouisvilleLOUMiamiMIA 62.9% MiamiMIASMUSMU 37.1%	0.5%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 ClemsonCLEM LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA	LouisvilleLOUSMUSMU	0.5%
7-1 ClemsonCLEM 6-2 LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA SMUSMU	CCG participants not 100% certain ClemsonCLEMMiamiMIA 99.7%	0.3%
8-0 SMUSMU 6-2 ClemsonCLEM MiamiMIA	CCG participants not 100% certain MiamiMIASMUSMU 99.5%	0.2%
8-0 SMUSMU 6-2 ClemsonCLEM MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT	PittsburghPITTSMUSMU	0.2%
7-1 ClemsonCLEM 6-2 MiamiMIA SMUSMU	ClemsonCLEMMiamiMIA	<0.1%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 ClemsonCLEM MiamiMIA	CCG participants not 100% certain MiamiMIASMUSMU 98.8% ClemsonCLEMSMUSMU 1.2%	<0.1%
7-1 MiamiMIA 6-2 ClemsonCLEM SMUSMU	MiamiMIASMUSMU	<0.1%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 ClemsonCLEM MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT	PittsburghPITTSMUSMU	<0.1%
6-2 ClemsonCLEM LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA SMUSMU	CCG participants not 100% certain LouisvilleLOUMiamiMIA 98.6% LouisvilleLOUSMUSMU 1.4%	<0.1%
7-1 MiamiMIA 6-2 ClemsonCLEM PittsburghPITT SMUSMU	MiamiMIASMUSMU	<0.1%
8-0 SMUSMU 6-2 ClemsonCLEM LouisvilleLOU	LouisvilleLOUSMUSMU	<0.1%
7-1 MiamiMIA 6-2 ClemsonCLEM LouisvilleLOU	LouisvilleLOUMiamiMIA	<0.1%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 ClemsonCLEM LouisvilleLOU	LouisvilleLOUSMUSMU	<0.1%
7-1 ClemsonCLEM 6-2 LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA	ClemsonCLEMMiamiMIA	<0.1%

Head-to-head → Common conference opponents → Record against next-best common opponent → Strength of schedule

Some tiebreaker steps involve factors like point differential that cannot be predicted before games are played, leading to uncertain outcomes.