SMU

SMUMustangs

8-1 1st (5-0) in ACC

Data from 2024-11-10 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

96.0%

Based on 100,000 simulations

SMUSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
08/24
@NevadaNEV
W29-24
18/31
vsHouston ChristianHCU
W59-7
29/06
vsBYUBYU
L15-18
49/21
vsTCUTCU
W66-42
59/28
vsFlorida StFSU
W42-16
610/05
@LouisvilleLOU
W34-27
810/19
@StanfordSTAN
W40-10
910/26
@DukeDUKE
W28-27
1011/02
vsPittsburghPITT
W48-25
1211/16
vsBoston CollegeBC
Win prob:92%
1311/23
@VirginiaUVA
Win prob:90%
1411/30
vsCaliforniaCAL
Win prob:78%

Data from 2024-11-10 • SportsSimulate.com

SMURecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
64.7%
100.0%
7-1
30.9%
100.0%
6-2
4.1%
8.6%
5-3
0.2%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-11-10 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely SMU CCG Opponents

if SMU makes the CCG

MiamiMiami FL
88.6%
ClemsonClemson
9.4%
LouisvilleLouisville
1.7%
PittsburghPittsburgh
0.2%

Data from 2024-11-10 • SportsSimulate.com

SMUThis Week's Impact

Game
SMUCCG OddsAway
SMUCCG OddsHome
ClemsonCLEM@PittsburghPITT
95.7%
(-0.4%)		97.7%
(+1.7%)
VirginiaUVA@Notre DameND
96.6%
(+0.5%)		96.0%
(-0.0%)
Wake ForestWAKE@North CarolinaUNC
96.0%
(-0.0%)		96.0%
(+0.0%)
Boston CollegeBC@SMUSMU
73.5%
(-22.6%)		97.9%
(+1.8%)
LouisvilleLOU@StanfordSTAN
96.0%
(-0.0%)		96.7%
(+0.7%)
SyracuseSYR@CaliforniaCAL
96.0%
(-0.0%)		96.0%
(+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for SMU

PittsburghPittsburghVirginiaVirginiaStanfordStanford

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for SMU

SMUSMU

CCG: 97.9% • Scenario: 92.6%

Ways for SMU to Clinch Atlantic Coast Conference CCG Spot This Week

PittsburghPittsburghSMUSMUStanfordStanford
0.9%
PittsburghPittsburghStanfordStanfordCaliforniaCalifornia
0.8%
PittsburghPittsburghWake ForestWake ForestStanfordStanford
0.1%

Data from 2024-11-10 • SportsSimulate.com

SMULoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
SMU CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
64.7%
Any 1 loss
100.0%
31.0%
Any 2 losses
8.6%
4.1%
Boston CollegeCalifornia
16.5%
1.4%
Boston CollegeVirginia
5.1%
0.6%
CaliforniaVirginia
4.2%
2.1%

Data from 2024-11-10 • SportsSimulate.com

SMUCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11Week 12

Data from 2024-11-10 • SportsSimulate.com