Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.1%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | W69-3 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | W51-10 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | W71-0 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | W25-15 | |
| 6 | 10/05 | L14-19 | |
| 7 | 10/12 | W23-17 | |
| 8 | 10/19 | W24-17 | |
| 10 | 11/02 | W28-18 | |
| 11 | 11/09 | W33-14 | |
| 12 | 11/16 | L17-31 | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:99% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:91% |
Data from 2024-11-17
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | 91.4% | 0.1% |
| 5-3 | 8.6% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-11-17
This Week's Impact
| Game | ||
|---|---|---|
| 0.1% (+0.0%) | 0.1% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.1% (+0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.1%) | 0.3% (+0.2%) | |
| 0.1% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (-0.1%) | |
| 2.9% (+2.8%) | 0.0% (-0.1%) | |
| 0.1% (+0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.1% (+0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.1% (+0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.1% (+0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.1%) | 0.7% (+0.6%) |
Best Winner Combination for 
CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for 
CCG: 9.5% • Scenario: 0.9%
Data from 2024-11-17
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-11-17