SEC Tiebreaker Scenarios
Scenarios where tiebreakers determine conference championship game participants
46 of 46 scenarios
| Scenario | CCG Matchup | Probability |
|---|---|---|
CCG participants not 100% certain  AlabamaALA TexasTEX GeorgiaUGATexasTEX | 34.7% | |
CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALATexasTEXGeorgiaUGATexasTEX | 18.1% | |
AlabamaALA Texas A&MTA&M | 8.5% | |
CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALATexasTEXGeorgiaUGATexasTEX | 6.2% | |
| AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA | 5.6% | |
CCG participants not 100% certain GeorgiaUGATexasTEXTexasTEXTexas A&MTA&M | 4.8% | |
| AlabamaALATexasTEX | 3.4% | |
CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALATexasTEXGeorgiaUGATexasTEX | 3.3% | |
| GeorgiaUGATexasTEX | 2.6% | |
| AlabamaALATexasTEX | 1.7% | |
| AlabamaALATexas A&MTA&M | 1.4% | |
| GeorgiaUGATexas A&MTA&M | 1.2% | |
CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA | 1.0% | |
CCG participants not 100% certain TexasTEXTexas A&MTA&MGeorgiaUGATexasTEX | 0.9% | |
CCG participants not 100% certain GeorgiaUGATexas A&MTA&MGeorgiaUGATexasTEX | 0.8% | |
| AlabamaALATexas A&MTA&M | 0.8% | |
| AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA | 0.6% | |
CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALATexasTEX | 0.6% | |
| AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA | 0.5% | |
CCG participants not 100% certain GeorgiaUGATexasTEXTexasTEXTexas A&MTA&M | 0.5% | |
| GeorgiaUGATexasTEX | 0.4% | |
| AlabamaALATexasTEX | 0.3% | |
| AlabamaALATexas A&MTA&M | 0.3% | |
 Ole MissMISSTexasTEX | 0.2% | |
| GeorgiaUGATexas A&MTA&M | 0.2% | |
| AlabamaALATexas A&MTA&M | 0.1% | |
CCG participants not 100% certain GeorgiaUGATexas A&MTA&MGeorgiaUGATexasTEX | 0.1% | |
| AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA | 0.1% | |
| GeorgiaUGATexas A&MTA&M | 0.1% | |
| AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA | 0.1% | |
GeorgiaUGA TennesseeTENN | <0.1% | |
CCG participants not 100% certain GeorgiaUGATexas A&MTA&MGeorgiaUGATexasTEX | <0.1% | |
| GeorgiaUGATexasTEX | <0.1% | |
| AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA | <0.1% | |
| AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA | <0.1% | |
| AlabamaALATexas A&MTA&M | <0.1% | |
| AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA | <0.1% | |
| GeorgiaUGATexas A&MTA&M | <0.1% | |
| AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA | <0.1% | |
| AlabamaALATexas A&MTA&M | <0.1% | |
| GeorgiaUGATexasTEX | <0.1% | |
| GeorgiaUGATexas A&MTA&M | <0.1% | |
| GeorgiaUGAOle MissMISS | <0.1% | |
CCG participants not 100% certain GeorgiaUGATexas A&MTA&MGeorgiaUGAOle MissMISS | <0.1% | |
CCG participants not 100% certain GeorgiaUGATexas A&MTA&MGeorgiaUGATexasTEX | <0.1% | |
| AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA | <0.1% |
How 
Tiebreakers Work
Head-to-head → Common conference opponents → Combined record against next-highest teams → Strength of schedule → Scoring margin
Some tiebreaker steps involve factors like point differential that cannot be predicted before games are played, leading to uncertain outcomes.