Hawaii

Hawai'iRainbow Warriors

1-2 T2nd (0-0) in MWC

Data from 2024-09-15 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.2%

Based on 100,000 simulations

HawaiiSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
08/24
vsDelaware StateDSU
W35-14
18/31
vsUCLAUCLA
L13-16
39/14
@Sam Houston StSHSU
L13-31
49/21
vsNorthern IowaUNI
Win prob:90%
610/05
@San Diego StSDSU
Win prob:25%
710/12
vsBoise StBOIS
Win prob:11%
810/19
@Washington StWSU
Win prob:8%
910/26
vsNevadaNEV
Win prob:56%
1011/02
@Fresno StFRES
Win prob:5%
1111/09
vsUNLVUNLV
Win prob:17%
1211/16
@Utah StUSU
Win prob:38%
1411/30
vsNew MexicoUNM
Win prob:60%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

HawaiiRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
7-0
0%
100.0%
6-1
0.1%
82.3%
5-2
1.5%
10.5%
4-3
8.6%
0.1%
3-4
25.1%
0%
2-5
35.5%
0%
1-6
23.5%
0%
0-7
5.8%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Hawaii CCG Opponents

if Hawaii makes the CCG

Fresno StateFresno St
50.0%
San José StateSan Jose St
22.7%
Boise StateBoise St
18.2%
UNLVUNLV
9.1%
San Diego StateSan Diego St
0.0%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

HawaiiThis Week's Impact

Game
HawaiiCCG OddsAway
HawaiiCCG OddsHome
WyomingWYO@North TexasUNT
0.3%
(+0.0%)		0.2%
(-0.0%)
Fresno StFRES@New MexicoUNM
0.2%
(-0.0%)		0.4%
(+0.2%)
Eastern WashingtonEWU@NevadaNEV
0.2%
(-0.1%)		0.2%
(+0.0%)
UTEPUTEP@Colorado StCSU
0.2%
(-0.0%)		0.2%
(+0.0%)
Utah StUSU@TempleTEM
0.3%
(+0.0%)		0.2%
(-0.0%)
Portland StatePRST@Boise StBOIS
0.3%
(+0.0%)		0.2%
(+0.0%)
San Jose StSJSU@Washington StWSU
0.2%
(+0.0%)		0.2%
(+0.0%)
Northern IowaUNI@HawaiiHAW
0.2%
(+0.0%)		0.2%
(+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for Hawaii

WyomingWyomingNew MexicoNew MexicoTempleTemplePortland StatePortland StateSan Jose StSan José StateNorthern IowaNorthern Iowa

CCG: 33.3% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Hawaii

NevadaNevadaUtah StUtah StateHawaiiHawai'i

CCG: 0.3% • Scenario: 51.2%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

HawaiiLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Hawaii CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 1 loss
<0.1%
<0.1%
Fresno St
100.0%
<0.1%
Washington St
100.0%
<0.1%
San Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise St
50.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
60.7%
0.1%
UNLVWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StNorthern Iowa
100.0%
<0.1%
NevadaWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Utah StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StWashington St
85.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StWashington St
68.3%
<0.1%
Fresno StUtah St
40.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StSan Diego St
18.2%
<0.1%
Fresno StUNLV
13.6%
<0.1%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

HawaiiCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com