UNLV

UNLVRebels

3-0 T2nd (0-0) in MWC

Data from 2024-09-15 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

27.5%

Based on 100,000 simulations

UNLVSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/31
@HoustonHOU
W27-7
29/07
vsUtah TechUTU
W72-14
39/13
vsKansasKU(N)
W23-20
59/28
vsFresno StFRES
Win prob:39%
610/04
vsSyracuseSYR
Win prob:77%
710/11
@Utah StUSU
Win prob:81%
810/19
@Oregon StORST
Win prob:34%
910/25
vsBoise StBOIS
Win prob:45%
1111/09
@HawaiiHAW
Win prob:83%
1211/16
vsSan Diego StSDSU
Win prob:81%
1311/22
@San Jose StSJSU
Win prob:34%
1411/30
vsNevadaNEV
Win prob:89%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

UNLVRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
7-0
2.9%
100.0%
6-1
16.0%
98.1%
5-2
32.8%
27.0%
4-3
30.9%
0.3%
3-4
14.0%
0%
2-5
3.1%
0%
1-6
0.4%
0%
0-7
0.0%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely UNLV CCG Opponents

if UNLV makes the CCG

Fresno StateFresno St
37.5%
San José StateSan Jose St
33.8%
Boise StateBoise St
25.6%
Air ForceAir Force
1.8%
San Diego StateSan Diego St
1.3%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

UNLVThis Week's Impact

Game
UNLVCCG OddsAway
UNLVCCG OddsHome
WyomingWYO@North TexasUNT
27.8%
(+0.3%)		27.3%
(-0.2%)
Fresno StFRES@New MexicoUNM
27.1%
(-0.4%)		32.0%
(+4.5%)
Eastern WashingtonEWU@NevadaNEV
27.6%
(+0.1%)		27.5%
(-0.0%)
UTEPUTEP@Colorado StCSU
27.5%
(-0.1%)		27.6%
(+0.0%)
Utah StUSU@TempleTEM
27.4%
(-0.1%)		27.7%
(+0.1%)
Portland StatePRST@Boise StBOIS
27.7%
(+0.2%)		27.5%
(-0.0%)
San Jose StSJSU@Washington StWSU
27.5%
(+0.0%)		27.5%
(-0.0%)
Northern IowaUNI@HawaiiHAW
27.8%
(+0.3%)		27.5%
(-0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for UNLV

North TexasNorth TexasNew MexicoNew MexicoEastern WashingtonEastern WashingtonUTEPUTEPTempleTemplePortland StatePortland StateWashington StWashington State

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for UNLV

New MexicoNew Mexico

CCG: 32.0% • Scenario: 8.0%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

UNLVLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
UNLV CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
0.8%
Any 1 loss
98.8%
5.8%
Syracuse
100.0%
0.2%
Oregon St
100.0%
1.5%
Hawaii
100.0%
0.1%
Nevada
100.0%
0.1%
San Diego St
100.0%
0.1%
Utah St
99.5%
0.2%
Fresno St
98.6%
1.1%
Boise St
98.4%
0.9%
San Jose St
97.2%
1.5%
Any 2 losses
65.7%
18.3%
Oregon StUtah St
100.0%
0.4%
HawaiiOregon St
100.0%
0.3%
NevadaOregon St
100.0%
0.2%
Oregon StSyracuse
100.0%
0.4%
NevadaSyracuse
100.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiSyracuse
100.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StSyracuse
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StSan Diego St
99.7%
0.4%
Boise StOregon St
98.9%
1.9%
Boise StSyracuse
98.8%
0.3%
Fresno StSyracuse
98.7%
0.3%
SyracuseUtah St
98.2%
<0.1%
Fresno StOregon St
97.3%
2.4%
Oregon StSan Jose St
97.2%
2.8%
San Jose StSyracuse
96.5%
0.4%
HawaiiNevada
80.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StUtah St
79.6%
<0.1%
HawaiiUtah St
66.7%
<0.1%
HawaiiSan Diego St
65.6%
<0.1%
NevadaUtah St
63.6%
<0.1%
Fresno StHawaii
58.8%
0.2%
NevadaSan Diego St
56.5%
<0.1%
Fresno StUtah St
54.9%
0.3%
HawaiiSan Jose St
53.6%
0.3%
Boise StNevada
49.5%
0.1%
Fresno StNevada
49.3%
0.1%
Fresno StSan Diego St
49.2%
0.3%
San Diego StSan Jose St
45.4%
0.3%
NevadaSan Jose St
45.3%
0.2%
Boise StUtah St
42.6%
0.2%
Boise StHawaii
42.0%
0.2%
San Jose StUtah St
41.3%
0.3%
Boise StSan Diego St
41.2%
0.2%
Fresno StSan Jose St
17.0%
2.4%
Boise StSan Jose St
16.7%
1.7%
Boise StFresno St
14.1%
1.4%
Any 3 losses
32.6%
23.2%
Oregon StSyracuseUtah St
100.0%
0.1%
NevadaOregon StSyracuse
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StSan Diego StSyracuse
99.1%
0.1%
Boise StOregon StSyracuse
98.9%
0.6%
HawaiiOregon StSyracuse
98.9%
<0.1%
Fresno StOregon StSyracuse
98.2%
0.7%
Oregon StSan Jose StSyracuse
96.9%
0.8%
HawaiiNevadaSyracuse
85.7%
<0.1%
HawaiiOregon StUtah St
78.6%
<0.1%
HawaiiSyracuseUtah St
77.8%
<0.1%
NevadaOregon StUtah St
70.6%
<0.1%
HawaiiOregon StSan Diego St
69.9%
<0.1%
HawaiiNevadaOregon St
64.7%
<0.1%
Oregon StSan Diego StUtah St
63.9%
<0.1%
Fresno StSyracuseUtah St
63.2%
<0.1%
Fresno StNevadaSyracuse
63.0%
<0.1%
NevadaOregon StSan Diego St
61.1%
<0.1%
Boise StNevadaSyracuse
60.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiSan Diego StSyracuse
58.3%
<0.1%
Boise StSyracuseUtah St
58.2%
<0.1%
Fresno StHawaiiOregon St
55.1%
0.5%
San Diego StSyracuseUtah St
53.8%
<0.1%
Fresno StHawaiiSyracuse
52.6%
<0.1%
NevadaSan Jose StSyracuse
49.0%
<0.1%
Boise StHawaiiOregon St
48.1%
0.4%
Fresno StOregon StUtah St
48.1%
0.6%
Boise StHawaiiSyracuse
47.6%
<0.1%
HawaiiSan Jose StSyracuse
47.6%
<0.1%
Fresno StNevadaOregon St
47.3%
0.3%
Boise StNevadaOregon St
45.4%
0.2%
San Diego StSan Jose StSyracuse
44.4%
0.1%
Boise StOregon StUtah St
44.4%
0.4%
NevadaOregon StSan Jose St
43.9%
0.4%
HawaiiOregon StSan Jose St
43.8%
0.6%
Oregon StSan Jose StUtah St
42.6%
0.7%
San Jose StSyracuseUtah St
42.5%
0.1%
Fresno StOregon StSan Diego St
42.0%
0.6%
Fresno StSan Diego StSyracuse
40.5%
<0.1%
NevadaSan Diego StSyracuse
40.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StSan Diego StSan Jose St
39.4%
0.7%
Boise StOregon StSan Diego St
39.2%
0.4%
Boise StSan Diego StSyracuse
34.4%
<0.1%
NevadaSyracuseUtah St
33.3%
<0.1%
Boise StSan Jose StSyracuse
17.9%
0.5%
Boise StOregon StSan Jose St
16.7%
3.4%
Fresno StOregon StSan Jose St
15.7%
4.6%
Boise StFresno StOregon St
15.2%
2.8%
Fresno StSan Jose StSyracuse
14.2%
0.7%
Boise StFresno StSyracuse
12.8%
0.4%
NevadaSan Diego StSan Jose St
3.0%
<0.1%
Boise StHawaiiSan Diego St
2.9%
<0.1%
Fresno StHawaiiUtah St
2.9%
<0.1%
Fresno StNevadaUtah St
2.7%
<0.1%
NevadaSan Jose StUtah St
2.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StHawaiiSan Diego St
1.8%
<0.1%
Boise StSan Diego StUtah St
1.7%
<0.1%
HawaiiSan Diego StSan Jose St
1.6%
<0.1%
Fresno StSan Diego StUtah St
1.5%
<0.1%
HawaiiSan Jose StUtah St
1.0%
0.1%
Fresno StNevadaSan Jose St
0.7%
0.3%
Boise StHawaiiSan Jose St
0.5%
0.4%
Boise StNevadaSan Jose St
0.5%
0.2%
Any 4 losses
18.9%
7.2%
HawaiiNevadaOregon StSyracuse
100.0%
<0.1%
NevadaOregon StSyracuseUtah St
83.3%
<0.1%
HawaiiOregon StSyracuseUtah St
73.9%
<0.1%
HawaiiOregon StSan Diego StSyracuse
57.6%
<0.1%
Oregon StSan Diego StSyracuseUtah St
57.1%
<0.1%
Fresno StHawaiiOregon StSyracuse
54.3%
0.1%
Fresno StOregon StSan Diego StSyracuse
53.7%
0.2%
NevadaOregon StSan Diego StSyracuse
52.9%
<0.1%
Fresno StNevadaOregon StSyracuse
50.7%
<0.1%
Fresno StOregon StSyracuseUtah St
50.6%
0.2%
HawaiiOregon StSan Jose StSyracuse
48.5%
0.2%
Boise StOregon StSyracuseUtah St
46.7%
0.1%
Oregon StSan Jose StSyracuseUtah St
46.0%
0.2%
Boise StOregon StSan Diego StSyracuse
41.7%
0.1%
NevadaOregon StSan Jose StSyracuse
41.2%
0.1%
Oregon StSan Diego StSan Jose StSyracuse
38.4%
0.2%
Boise StHawaiiOregon StSyracuse
38.4%
<0.1%
Boise StNevadaOregon StSyracuse
35.6%
<0.1%
Boise StOregon StSan Jose StSyracuse
16.4%
1.0%
Fresno StOregon StSan Jose StSyracuse
15.4%
1.4%
Boise StFresno StOregon StSyracuse
15.0%
0.9%
HawaiiNevadaOregon StSan Diego St
14.3%
<0.1%
HawaiiNevadaOregon StUtah St
13.3%
<0.1%
Fresno StSan Diego StSyracuseUtah St
11.1%
<0.1%
NevadaSan Jose StSyracuseUtah St
10.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiNevadaOregon StSan Jose St
3.3%
<0.1%
Boise StNevadaOregon StUtah St
3.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StHawaiiOregon StUtah St
3.0%
0.1%
Fresno StHawaiiOregon StSan Diego St
3.0%
0.1%
Boise StNevadaOregon StSan Diego St
1.7%
<0.1%
Fresno StNevadaOregon StUtah St
1.6%
<0.1%
Fresno StNevadaOregon StSan Diego St
1.3%
<0.1%
Boise StHawaiiOregon StUtah St
1.1%
<0.1%
Boise StSan Diego StSan Jose StSyracuse
0.8%
0.1%
Boise StSan Jose StSyracuseUtah St
0.8%
0.1%
Fresno StOregon StSan Diego StUtah St
0.7%
0.1%
Boise StFresno StHawaiiOregon St
0.7%
0.6%
Fresno StHawaiiSan Jose StSyracuse
0.7%
0.1%
Fresno StSan Diego StSan Jose StSyracuse
0.6%
0.2%
Boise StFresno StNevadaOregon St
0.5%
0.4%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

UNLVCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com