Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | W16-13 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | L13-42 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | Win prob:9% | |
| 5 | 9/28 | Win prob:7% | |
| 6 | 10/05 | Win prob:7% | |
| 7 | 10/12 | Win prob:46% | |
| 8 | 10/19 | Win prob:35% | |
| 10 | 11/02 | Win prob:25% | |
| 11 | 11/08 | Win prob:39% | |
| 12 | 11/15 | Win prob:12% | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:19% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:27% |
Data from 2024-09-15
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 8-1 | 0% | 0% |
| 7-2 | 0.0% | 28.6% |
| 6-3 | 0.1% | 0% |
| 5-4 | 1.3% | 0% |
| 4-5 | 6.7% | 0% |
| 3-6 | 20.0% | 0% |
| 2-7 | 33.3% | 0% |
| 1-8 | 28.6% | 0% |
| 0-9 | 10.0% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-09-15
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Data from 2024-09-15
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
100.0%
<0.1%
50.0%
<0.1%Data from 2024-09-15
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-09-15