Mid-American Conference

Mid-American Conference Championship Probabilities

Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2024-09-22

Mid-American ConferenceConference Standings

T1BuffaloBUF1-03-131.6%
T1C MichiganCMU1-02-20.5%
T3ToledoTOL0-03-161.3%
T3Bowling GreenBGSU0-01-231.8%
T3Miami OHM-OH0-00-325.5%
T3OhioOHIO0-02-223.6%
T3N IllinoisNIU0-12-114.1%
T3E MichiganEMU0-03-19.5%
T3W MichiganWMU0-01-21.7%
T3Ball StBALL0-11-20.3%
T3AkronAKR0-01-3<0.1%
T3KentKENT0-00-4-

Based on 100,000 simulations • Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Mid-American Conference CCG Matchups

114.1%
Bowling GreenBGSU
vs
TOLToledo
213.6%
BuffaloBUF
vs
TOLToledo
312.2%
Miami OHM-OH
vs
TOLToledo
410.5%
OhioOHIO
vs
TOLToledo
56.1%
Bowling GreenBGSU
vs
BUFBuffalo
65.9%
N IllinoisNIU
vs
TOLToledo
74.3%
Bowling GreenBGSU
vs
OHIOOhio
84.3%
BuffaloBUF
vs
M-OHMiami OH
93.9%
E MichiganEMU
vs
TOLToledo
103.6%
Bowling GreenBGSU
vs
M-OHMiami OH
113.4%
BuffaloBUF
vs
OHIOOhio
122.8%
BuffaloBUF
vs
NIUN Illinois
132.6%
Miami OHM-OH
vs
OHIOOhio
141.7%
Bowling GreenBGSU
vs
NIUN Illinois
151.7%
Bowling GreenBGSU
vs
EMUE Michigan

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

Mid-American ConferenceCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact on Mid-American Conference CCG Odds

Current CCG Probability: 61.3%
Game
ToledoCCG OddsAway
ToledoCCG OddsHome
San Diego StSDSU@C MichiganCMU
61.2%
(-0.1%)		61.4%
(+0.1%)
Ball StBALL@James MadisonJMU
62.7%
(+1.4%)		61.3%
(-0.0%)
AkronAKR@OhioOHIO
64.1%
(+2.8%)		61.0%
(-0.3%)
E MichiganEMU@KentKENT
61.2%
(-0.1%)		62.1%
(+0.8%)
BuffaloBUF@UConnCONN
61.3%
(+0.0%)		61.3%
(-0.0%)
W MichiganWMU@MarshallMRSH
60.7%
(-0.7%)		61.5%
(+0.2%)
MassachusettsMASS@Miami OHM-OH
62.0%
(+0.7%)		61.3%
(-0.1%)
N IllinoisNIU@NC StateNCSU
61.5%
(+0.2%)		61.2%
(-0.1%)
Old DominionODU@Bowling GreenBGSU
61.2%
(-0.1%)		61.3%
(+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for Toledo

C MichiganCentral MichiganBall StBall StateAkronAkronKentKent StateW MichiganWestern Michigan

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Toledo

AkronAkron

CCG: 64.1% • Scenario: 9.0%

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

Mid-American ConferenceCCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team8-07-16-25-3Overall
ToledoTOL100%99.9%64.4%4.4%61.3%
Bowling GreenBGSU100%91.1%29.8%0.8%31.8%
BuffaloBUF100%94.2%37.3%1.1%31.6%
Miami OHM-OH100%98.1%47.7%1.7%25.5%
OhioOHIO100%95.0%33.2%0.8%23.6%
N IllinoisNIU-96.9%47.9%1.8%14.1%
E MichiganEMU100%97.1%41.3%1.0%9.5%
W MichiganWMU100%89.1%25.1%0.4%1.7%
C MichiganCMU100%100%55.9%3.9%0.5%
Ball StBALL-100%60.8%1.2%0.3%
AkronAKR--71.0%3.8%<0.1%
KentKENT--28.6%--

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

Mid-American ConferenceFinal Record Distribution

Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record

Team8-07-16-25-34-43-52-61-70-8Avg Wins
ToledoTOL(0-0)10.7%28.8%32.6%19.3%7.0%1.5%0.2%<0.1%0.0%6.1
Bowling GreenBGSU(0-0)3.7%19.4%33.9%27.7%11.9%2.9%0.4%<0.1%0.0%5.7
BuffaloBUF(1-0)3.1%16.7%33.7%30.7%12.8%2.8%0.3%<0.1%-5.6
OhioOHIO(0-0)1.8%12.3%29.9%31.8%17.9%5.4%0.9%<0.1%0.0%5.3
Miami OHM-OH(0-0)1.7%10.9%26.4%31.8%20.3%7.4%1.4%0.1%0.0%5.1
N IllinoisNIU(0-1)-4.3%19.6%34.3%28.0%11.3%2.3%0.2%<0.1%4.7
E MichiganEMU(0-0)0.3%3.4%13.5%27.2%29.8%18.5%6.2%1.1%<0.1%4.3
W MichiganWMU(0-0)<0.1%0.6%4.3%15.1%28.9%30.4%16.5%4.0%0.3%3.5
C MichiganCMU(1-0)0.0%<0.1%0.5%3.8%15.0%32.4%34.7%13.5%-2.6
Ball StBALL(0-1)-<0.1%0.4%2.8%11.9%28.4%34.6%18.7%3.2%2.4
AkronAKR(0-0)0.0%0.0%<0.1%0.5%3.5%14.5%32.5%35.9%13.1%1.6
KentKENT(0-0)0.0%0.0%<0.1%<0.1%1.0%6.7%23.8%41.5%26.8%1.1

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com