OhioBobcats

2-2 T3rd (0-0) in MAC

Data from 2024-09-22 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

23.6%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/31	@SyracuseSYR	L22-38
2	9/07	vsSouth AlabamaUSA	W27-20
3	9/14	vsMorgan StateMORG	W21-6
4	9/21	@KentuckyUK	L6-41
5	9/28	vsAkronAKR	Win prob:91%
7	10/12	@Central MichiganCMU	Win prob:73%
8	10/19	@Miami (OH)M-OH	Win prob:35%
9	10/26	vsBuffaloBUF	Win prob:62%
11	11/06	@Kent StateKENT	Win prob:92%
12	11/13	vsEastern MichiganEMU	Win prob:71%
13	11/20	@ToledoTOL	Win prob:22%
14	11/29	vsBall StateBALL	Win prob:83%

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-0	1.8%	100.0%
7-1	12.3%	95.0%
6-2	29.9%	33.2%
5-3	31.8%	0.8%
4-4	17.9%	0%
3-5	5.4%	0%
2-6	0.9%	0%
1-7	0.1%	0%
0-8	0%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

46.8%

19.4%

15.0%

11.7%

7.2%

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
San Diego StateSDSU@Central MichiganCMU	23.7% (+0.1%)	23.4% (-0.2%)
Ball StateBALL@James MadisonJMU	22.5% (-1.1%)	23.6% (+0.0%)
AkronAKR@OhioOHIO	9.3% (-14.3%)	25.0% (+1.4%)
Eastern MichiganEMU@Kent StateKENT	23.5% (-0.1%)	24.3% (+0.8%)
BuffaloBUF@UConnCONN	23.7% (+0.1%)	23.5% (-0.1%)
Western MichiganWMU@MarshallMRSH	23.8% (+0.2%)	23.5% (-0.1%)
MassachusettsMASS@Miami (OH)M-OH	22.7% (-0.9%)	23.7% (+0.1%)
Northern IllinoisNIU@NC StateNCSU	23.6% (-0.0%)	23.6% (+0.0%)
Old DominionODU@Bowling GreenBGSU	23.6% (+0.0%)	23.6% (-0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Central Michigan

Ball State

Kent State

Massachusetts

Northern Illinois

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Ohio

CCG: 25.0% • Scenario: 91.0%

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

100.0%

1.8%

Any 1 loss

95.0%

12.3%

98.6%

0.1%

98.3%

0.7%

98.3%

0.2%

97.6%

0.3%

97.3%

0.6%

94.7%

3.0%

94.3%

6.2%

94.2%

1.1%

Any 2 losses

33.2%

29.9%

78.6%

<0.1%

74.2%

<0.1%

70.8%

<0.1%

70.1%

0.1%

69.7%

0.1%

68.8%

<0.1%

66.8%

0.3%

64.7%

<0.1%

62.2%

<0.1%

58.2%

0.2%

57.6%

0.1%

57.4%

0.3%

57.1%

0.3%

55.9%

<0.1%

53.9%

0.7%

52.1%

1.2%

50.9%

0.1%

50.7%

0.4%

48.0%

0.5%

47.3%

1.3%

45.3%

0.4%

42.3%

0.6%

42.1%

2.3%

41.4%

1.3%

38.0%

2.5%

35.4%

2.0%

20.9%

11.1%

20.3%

3.7%

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com