Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | L6-52 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | L17-49 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | W31-20 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | L7-50 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | Win prob:9% | |
| 6 | 10/05 | Win prob:12% | |
| 7 | 10/12 | Win prob:25% | |
| 9 | 10/26 | Win prob:25% | |
| 10 | 11/02 | Win prob:18% | |
| 12 | 11/13 | Win prob:6% | |
| 13 | 11/19 | Win prob:59% | |
| 14 | 11/26 | Win prob:7% |
Data from 2024-09-22
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 8-0 | 0% | 0% |
| 7-1 | 0% | 0% |
| 6-2 | 0.0% | 71.0% |
| 5-3 | 0.5% | 3.8% |
| 4-4 | 3.5% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 14.5% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 32.5% | 0% |
| 1-7 | 35.9% | 0% |
| 0-8 | 13.1% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-09-22
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2024-09-22
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.2% (+0.2%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.1% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.1% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Central MichiganAkron
Kent State
Buffalo
Western Michigan
Miami (OH)
Northern Illinois
Bowling GreenCCG: 9.1% • Scenario: 0.0%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
James MadisonAkronCCG: 0.2% • Scenario: 8.7%
Data from 2024-09-22
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-09-22