Mid-American Conference

Mid-American Conference Championship Probabilities

Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2024-09-29

Mid-American ConferenceConference Standings

T1OhioOHIO1-03-232.1%
T1E MichiganEMU1-04-113.4%
T1BuffaloBUF1-03-29.2%
T1C MichiganCMU1-03-20.6%
T5ToledoTOL0-03-166.0%
T5Bowling GreenBGSU0-01-332.7%
T5Miami OHM-OH0-01-327.4%
T5N IllinoisNIU0-12-214.4%
T5W MichiganWMU0-01-34.1%
T5Ball StBALL0-11-3<0.1%
T5AkronAKR0-11-4<0.1%
T5KentKENT0-10-5-

Based on 100,000 simulations • Data from 2024-09-29 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Mid-American Conference CCG Matchups

116.3%
Bowling GreenBGSU
vs
TOLToledo
215.8%
OhioOHIO
vs
TOLToledo
314.7%
Miami OHM-OH
vs
TOLToledo
46.7%
N IllinoisNIU
vs
TOLToledo
56.3%
Bowling GreenBGSU
vs
OHIOOhio
66.2%
E MichiganEMU
vs
TOLToledo
74.1%
BuffaloBUF
vs
TOLToledo
83.9%
Bowling GreenBGSU
vs
M-OHMiami OH
93.9%
Miami OHM-OH
vs
OHIOOhio
102.5%
N IllinoisNIU
vs
OHIOOhio
112.3%
Bowling GreenBGSU
vs
EMUE Michigan
121.9%
ToledoTOL
vs
WMUW Michigan
131.8%
Bowling GreenBGSU
vs
NIUN Illinois
141.8%
E MichiganEMU
vs
OHIOOhio
151.6%
Miami OHM-OH
vs
NIUN Illinois

Data from 2024-09-29 • SportsSimulate.com

Mid-American ConferenceCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6

Data from 2024-09-29 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact on Mid-American Conference CCG Odds

Current CCG Probability: 66.0%
Game
ToledoCCG OddsAway
ToledoCCG OddsHome
MassachusettsMASS@N IllinoisNIU
65.7%
(-0.2%)		66.0%
(+0.0%)
Bowling GreenBGSU@AkronAKR
65.7%
(-0.3%)		67.8%
(+1.9%)
W MichiganWMU@Ball StBALL
65.6%
(-0.4%)		66.5%
(+0.5%)
Miami OHM-OH@ToledoTOL
40.9%
(-25.1%)		75.2%
(+9.2%)

Best Winner Combination for Toledo

MassachusettsMassachusettsAkronAkronBall StBall StateToledoToledo

CCG: 79.2% • Scenario: 0.2%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Toledo

ToledoToledo

CCG: 75.2% • Scenario: 73.1%

Data from 2024-09-29 • SportsSimulate.com

Mid-American ConferenceCCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team8-07-16-25-3Overall
ToledoTOL100%99.9%64.1%4.1%66.0%
Bowling GreenBGSU100%92.5%31.2%0.6%32.7%
OhioOHIO100%94.3%30.3%0.6%32.1%
Miami OHM-OH100%99.3%50.9%1.4%27.4%
N IllinoisNIU-95.7%51.0%1.5%14.4%
E MichiganEMU100%97.5%40.1%0.9%13.4%
BuffaloBUF100%93.8%32.7%0.5%9.2%
W MichiganWMU100%84.3%21.0%0.2%4.1%
C MichiganCMU100%100%58.9%5.5%0.6%
Ball StBALL-100%52.4%1.7%<0.1%
AkronAKR-100%61.5%4.0%<0.1%
KentKENT--100%--

Data from 2024-09-29 • SportsSimulate.com

Mid-American ConferenceFinal Record Distribution

Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record

Team8-07-16-25-34-43-52-61-70-8Avg Wins
ToledoTOL(0-0)13.1%32.0%31.4%17.0%5.3%1.0%0.1%<0.1%0.0%6.3
OhioOHIO(1-0)3.2%18.8%36.6%28.7%10.6%2.0%0.2%0.0%-5.7
Bowling GreenBGSU(0-0)3.8%19.6%34.1%27.7%11.8%2.6%0.3%<0.1%0.0%5.7
Miami OHM-OH(0-0)1.7%11.4%27.3%32.0%19.8%6.6%1.1%<0.1%0.0%5.2
N IllinoisNIU(0-1)-4.0%19.7%34.6%28.2%11.1%2.1%0.2%0.0%4.7
E MichiganEMU(1-0)0.6%5.3%18.4%31.6%27.9%12.9%3.1%0.3%-4.7
BuffaloBUF(1-0)0.3%3.6%16.5%33.3%30.3%13.4%2.5%0.2%-4.6
W MichiganWMU(0-0)0.2%2.1%9.9%23.9%30.8%22.7%8.7%1.6%0.1%4.1
C MichiganCMU(1-0)0.0%<0.1%0.5%3.8%15.0%32.0%34.7%13.9%-2.6
Ball StBALL(0-1)-0.0%<0.1%0.8%5.3%18.9%35.4%30.6%8.8%1.8
AkronAKR(0-1)-0.0%<0.1%0.4%3.1%13.9%33.0%36.3%13.3%1.6
KentKENT(0-1)-0.0%0.0%<0.1%0.7%6.0%24.5%42.6%26.1%1.1

Data from 2024-09-29 • SportsSimulate.com