Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | L6-52 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | L17-49 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | W31-20 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | L7-50 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | L10-30 | |
| 6 | 10/05 | Win prob:12% | |
| 7 | 10/12 | Win prob:21% | |
| 9 | 10/26 | Win prob:22% | |
| 10 | 11/02 | Win prob:32% | |
| 12 | 11/13 | Win prob:6% | |
| 13 | 11/19 | Win prob:59% | |
| 14 | 11/26 | Win prob:6% |
Data from 2024-09-29
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 | 0% | 100.0% |
| 6-2 | 0.0% | 61.5% |
| 5-3 | 0.4% | 4.0% |
| 4-4 | 3.1% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 13.9% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 33.0% | 0% |
| 1-7 | 36.3% | 0% |
| 0-8 | 13.3% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-09-29
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2024-09-29
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.1%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Northern IllinoisAkron
Ball State
ToledoCCG: 0.2% • Scenario: 3.2%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
Northern IllinoisAkronCCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 11.1%
Data from 2024-09-29
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%Data from 2024-09-29
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-09-29