Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | L24-55 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | L17-23 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | L0-71 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | L0-56 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | L33-52 | |
| 7 | 10/12 | Win prob:35% | |
| 8 | 10/19 | Win prob:4% | |
| 9 | 10/26 | Win prob:12% | |
| 11 | 11/06 | Win prob:7% | |
| 12 | 11/13 | Win prob:3% | |
| 13 | 11/19 | Win prob:41% | |
| 14 | 11/26 | Win prob:11% |
Data from 2024-09-29
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 | 0% | 0% |
| 6-2 | 0% | 100.0% |
| 5-3 | 0.1% | 0% |
| 4-4 | 0.7% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 6.0% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 24.5% | 0% |
| 1-7 | 42.6% | 0% |
| 0-8 | 26.1% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-09-29
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Northern Illinois
Bowling Green
Western Michigan
Miami (OH)CCG: 0.0% • Scenario: 13.3%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
Northern IllinoisBowling GreenWestern MichiganMiami (OH)CCG: 0.0% • Scenario: 13.3%
Data from 2024-09-29
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-09-29