Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | L7-40 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | L24-27 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | L10-28 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | L17-27 | |
| 6 | 10/03 | L21-41 | |
| 7 | 10/10 | L17-44 | |
| 8 | 10/16 | W30-21 | |
| 9 | 10/22 | Win prob:26% | |
| 10 | 11/02 | Win prob:60% | |
| 11 | 11/09 | Win prob:44% | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:1% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:42% |
Data from 2024-10-20
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 5-3 | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| 4-4 | 18.0% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 37.7% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 31.9% | 0% |
| 1-7 | 9.4% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-10-20
This Week's Impact
| Game | ||
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.1% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for 
CCG: 0.3% • Scenario: 0.7%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for 
CCG: 0.0% • Scenario: 26.6%
Data from 2024-10-20
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-10-20