BYUCougars

7-0 T1st (4-0) in B12

Data from 2024-10-20 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

69.9%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/31	vsSouthern IllinoisSIU	W41-13
2	9/06	@SMUSMU	W18-15
3	9/14	@WyomingWYO	W34-14
4	9/21	vsKansas StateKSU	W38-9
5	9/28	@BaylorBAY	W34-28
7	10/12	vsArizonaARIZ	W41-19
8	10/18	vsOklahoma StateOKST	W38-35
9	10/26	@UCFUCF	Win prob:65%
11	11/09	@UtahUTAH	Win prob:55%
12	11/16	vsKansasKU	Win prob:62%
13	11/23	@Arizona StateASU	Win prob:63%
14	11/30	vsHoustonHOU	Win prob:90%

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
9-0	12.8%	100.0%
8-1	33.7%	99.8%
7-2	34.1%	66.5%
6-3	15.8%	5.1%
5-4	3.4%	0%
4-5	0.2%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

59.0%

35.0%

2.3%

2.2%

1.5%

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
Oklahoma StateOKST@BaylorBAY	70.0% (+0.1%)	69.9% (-0.1%)
Texas TechTTU@TCUTCU	68.5% (-1.4%)	71.2% (+1.2%)
West VirginiaWVU@ArizonaARIZ	69.5% (-0.4%)	70.2% (+0.3%)
KansasKU@Kansas StateKSU	75.9% (+6.0%)	68.3% (-1.7%)
UtahUTAH@HoustonHOU	69.8% (-0.1%)	70.2% (+0.3%)
BYUBYU@UCFUCF	81.4% (+11.5%)	48.8% (-21.1%)
CincinnatiCIN@ColoradoCOLO	70.5% (+0.6%)	69.5% (-0.4%)

Best Winner Combination for

Oklahoma State

TCU

West Virginia

Kansas

Houston

BYU

Colorado

CCG: 92.8% • Scenario: 0.2%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

BYU

CCG: 81.4% • Scenario: 64.8%

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

100.0%

12.8%

Any 1 loss

99.8%

33.7%

100.0%

1.4%

99.9%

7.8%

99.9%

7.0%

99.9%

10.1%

99.5%

7.4%

Any 2 losses

66.5%

34.1%

72.2%

6.0%

70.8%

4.0%

70.4%

0.8%

70.3%

1.1%

68.3%

5.6%

67.6%

4.6%

65.8%

0.8%

65.1%

0.8%

60.0%

6.2%

58.9%

4.2%

Any 3 losses

5.1%

15.8%

7.5%

0.6%

7.5%

0.4%

6.6%

3.2%

6.0%

0.6%

5.4%

0.5%

5.0%

0.7%

4.5%

3.6%

4.4%

2.4%

4.4%

3.4%

3.2%

0.5%

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com