TempleOwls

5-3 T3rd (3-1) in AAC

Data from 2025-10-26 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.6%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	@MassachusettsMASS	W42-10
2	9/06	vsHowardHOW	W55-7
3	9/13	vsOklahomaOU	L3-42
4	9/20	@Georgia TechGT	L24-45
6	10/04	vsUTSAUTSA	W27-21
7	10/11	vsNavyNAVY	L31-32
8	10/18	@CharlotteCLT	W49-14
9	10/25	@TulsaTLSA	W38-37
10	11/01	vsEast CarolinaECU	Win prob:30%
11	11/08	@ArmyARMY	Win prob:18%
13	11/22	vsTulaneTULN	Win prob:24%
14	11/28	@North TexasUNT	Win prob:10%

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
7-1	0.1%	83.9%
6-2	2.5%	18.7%
5-3	15.8%	0.0%
4-4	42.2%	0%
3-5	39.2%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

36.8%

19.3%

17.5%

14.0%

12.3%

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
MemphisMEM@RiceRICE	0.6% (-0.0%)	0.8% (+0.2%)
ArmyARMY@Air ForceAF	0.6% (-0.0%)	0.6% (+0.0%)
NavyNAVY@North TexasUNT	0.4% (-0.1%)	0.6% (+0.1%)
UABUAB@UConnCONN	0.6% (+0.1%)	0.6% (-0.0%)
TulaneTULN@UTSAUTSA	0.4% (-0.2%)	0.8% (+0.2%)
East CarolinaECU@TempleTEM	0.1% (-0.5%)	1.7% (+1.1%)

Best Winner Combination for

Rice

Army

Navy

UAB

UTSA

Temple

CCG: 6.3% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Temple

CCG: 1.7% • Scenario: 30.2%

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

83.9%

0.1%

Any 1 loss

18.7%

2.6%

29.1%

0.6%

22.9%

0.3%

19.4%

0.4%

11.8%

1.2%

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com