Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/30 | L3-23 | |
| 2 | 9/05 | W42-7 | |
| 3 | 9/13 | L14-34 | |
| 5 | 9/27 | W17-14 | |
| 6 | 10/04 | W42-7 | |
| 7 | 10/11 | W22-21 | |
| 8 | 10/18 | W19-0 | |
| 9 | 10/25 | L21-28 | |
| 11 | 11/07 | Win prob:8% | |
| 12 | 11/15 | Win prob:15% | |
| 13 | 11/22 | Win prob:42% | |
| 14 | 11/29 | Win prob:35% |
Data from 2025-10-26
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 7-2 | 0.2% | 1.9% |
| 6-3 | 3.5% | 0% |
| 5-4 | 21.4% | 0% |
| 4-5 | 45.2% | 0% |
| 3-6 | 29.8% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2025-10-26
This Week's Impact
| Game | ||
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for 
CCG: 0.0% • Scenario: 3.5%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for 
CCG: 0.0% • Scenario: 15.3%
Data from 2025-10-26
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
Likelihood
Win out
1.9%
0.2%Data from 2025-10-26
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2025-10-26