Big Ten Championship Probabilities

CCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team	9-0	8-1	7-2	6-3	Overall
IndianaIU	100%	76.4%	5.9%	-	80.4%
Ohio StateOSU	100%	63.1%	1.1%	-	77.1%
OregonORE	-	51.7%	6.7%	<0.1%	28.2%
MichiganMICH	-	52.5%	0.2%	-	8.0%
IowaIOWA	-	52.4%	1.1%	-	3.1%
USCUSC	-	27.3%	0.8%	-	3.1%
WashingtonWASH	-	-	1.5%	-	<0.1%
NebraskaNEB	-	-	1.9%	-	<0.1%
IllinoisILL	-	-	-	-	-
MarylandMD	-	-	-	-	-
Michigan StateMSU	-	-	-	-	-
MinnesotaMINN	-	-	-	-	-
NorthwesternNU	-	-	1.9%	-	-
Penn StatePSU	-	-	-	-	-
PurduePUR	-	-	-	-	-
RutgersRUTG	-	-	-	-	-
UCLAUCLA	-	-	9.1%	-	-
WisconsinWIS	-	-	-	-	-

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Team	9-0	8-1	7-2	6-3	5-4	4-5	3-6	2-7	1-8	0-9	Avg Wins
Ohio StateOSU(4-0)	52.2%	39.4%	8.1%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%	-	-	-	-	8.4
IndianaIU(5-0)	39.6%	52.8%	7.3%	0.3%	0.0%	-	-	-	-	-	8.3
OregonORE(4-1)	-	49.6%	39.2%	10.2%	1.0%	<0.1%	-	-	-	-	7.4
MichiganMICH(4-1)	-	15.0%	56.2%	25.4%	3.3%	<0.1%	-	-	-	-	6.8
USCUSC(3-1)	-	9.9%	44.8%	35.1%	9.3%	0.8%	<0.1%	-	-	-	6.5
IowaIOWA(4-1)	-	5.3%	29.4%	47.2%	17.4%	0.7%	-	-	-	-	6.2
WashingtonWASH(3-2)	-	-	6.1%	48.8%	36.4%	8.2%	0.5%	-	-	-	5.5
MinnesotaMINN(3-2)	-	-	1.6%	38.6%	43.9%	14.4%	1.5%	-	-	-	5.2
IllinoisILL(2-3)	-	-	-	18.2%	39.2%	30.7%	10.6%	1.3%	-	-	4.6
NebraskaNEB(3-2)	-	-	0.5%	7.2%	31.5%	45.7%	15.1%	-	-	-	4.3
NorthwesternNU(3-2)	-	-	0.2%	3.5%	21.4%	45.2%	29.8%	-	-	-	4.0
UCLAUCLA(3-2)	-	-	<0.1%	0.6%	10.5%	41.8%	47.0%	-	-	-	3.6
Penn StatePSU(0-4)	-	-	-	-	12.5%	45.2%	35.9%	6.0%	0.3%	0.0%	3.6
MarylandMD(1-3)	-	-	-	0.3%	6.2%	26.0%	40.3%	23.4%	3.8%	-	3.1
RutgersRUTG(1-4)	-	-	-	-	<0.1%	1.0%	14.3%	46.2%	38.5%	-	1.8
WisconsinWIS(0-5)	-	-	-	-	-	<0.1%	2.5%	17.7%	44.1%	35.7%	0.9
Michigan StateMSU(0-5)	-	-	-	-	-	0.0%	0.3%	5.3%	32.8%	61.6%	0.4
PurduePUR(0-5)	-	-	-	-	-	0.0%	<0.1%	0.5%	12.8%	86.7%	0.1

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com