Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/30 | L12-14 | |
| 2 | 9/06 | W34-10 | |
| 3 | 9/13 | L10-52 | |
| 4 | 9/20 | L31-34 | |
| 5 | 9/27 | W54-51 | |
| 7 | 10/11 | L14-24 | |
| 8 | 10/18 | L10-22 | |
| 9 | 10/25 | L23-35 | |
| 10 | 11/01 | Win prob:32% | |
| 11 | 11/08 | Win prob:28% | |
| 13 | 11/20 | Win prob:56% | |
| 14 | 11/29 | Win prob:87% |
Data from 2025-10-26
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 5-3 | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| 4-4 | 24.3% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 43.8% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 24.8% | 0% |
| 1-7 | 2.8% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2025-10-26
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Louisiana
Texas State
Arkansas State
Marshall
Old DominionCCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 1.1%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
LouisianaTexas StateArkansas StateMarshallOld DominionCCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 1.1%
Data from 2025-10-26
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2025-10-26