MissouriTigers

6-2 T8th (2-2) in SEC

Data from 2025-10-26 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/28	vsCentral ArkansasCARK	W61-6
2	9/06	vsKansasKU	W42-31
3	9/13	vsLouisianaUL	W52-10
4	9/20	vsSouth CarolinaSC	W29-20
5	9/27	vsMassachusettsMASS	W42-6
7	10/11	vsAlabamaALA	L24-27
8	10/18	@AuburnAUB	W23-17
9	10/25	@VanderbiltVAN	L10-17
11	11/08	vsTexas A&MTA&M	Win prob:56%
12	11/15	vsMississippi StateMSST	Win prob:88%
13	11/22	@OklahomaOU	Win prob:44%
14	11/29	@ArkansasARK	Win prob:66%

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
6-2	14.3%	0.5%
5-3	38.9%	0%
4-4	34.6%	0%
3-5	11.2%	0%
2-6	1.0%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

85.7%

14.3%

0.0%

0.0%

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
GeorgiaUGA@FloridaFLA	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.1%)
OklahomaOU@TennesseeTENN	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (-0.0%)
KentuckyUK@AuburnAUB	0.0% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
South CarolinaSC@Ole MissMISS	0.5% (+0.4%)	0.0% (-0.0%)
Mississippi StateMSST@ArkansasARK	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (-0.0%)
VanderbiltVAN@TexasTEX	0.1% (+0.1%)	0.1% (-0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Florida

Tennessee

Kentucky

South Carolina

Mississippi State

Vanderbilt

CCG: 11.1% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

South Carolina

CCG: 0.5% • Scenario: 9.6%

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

0.5%

14.3%

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com