Big XII Tiebreaker Scenarios

Scenarios where tiebreakers determine conference championship game participants

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50 of 152 scenarios

Scenario	CCG Matchup	Probability
8-1 Texas TechTTU 7-2 BYUBYU CincinnatiCIN UtahUTAH	CCG participants not 100% certain Texas TechTTUUtahUTAH 59.4% BYUBYUTexas TechTTU 40.6%	3.4%
8-1 Texas TechTTU 7-2 BYUBYU CincinnatiCIN	CCG participants not 100% certain CincinnatiCINTexas TechTTU 65.1% BYUBYUTexas TechTTU 34.9%	3.1%
8-1 Texas TechTTU 7-2 BYUBYU UtahUTAH	BYUBYUTexas TechTTU	2.9%
8-1 Texas TechTTU 7-2 CincinnatiCIN UtahUTAH	Texas TechTTUUtahUTAH	2.2%
8-1 Texas TechTTU 7-2 Arizona StateASU BYUBYU CincinnatiCIN UtahUTAH	CCG participants not 100% certain Texas TechTTUUtahUTAH 99.5%	2.2%
8-1 Texas TechTTU 7-2 Arizona StateASU BYUBYU CincinnatiCIN	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUTexas TechTTU 93.8% Arizona StateASUTexas TechTTU 5.8%	2.0%
8-1 Texas TechTTU 7-2 Arizona StateASU BYUBYU UtahUTAH	Arizona StateASUTexas TechTTU	1.9%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 Texas TechTTU UtahUTAH	BYUBYUTexas TechTTU	1.7%
8-1 Texas TechTTU 7-2 Arizona StateASU BYUBYU	Arizona StateASUTexas TechTTU	1.7%
7-2 BYUBYU CincinnatiCIN Texas TechTTU UtahUTAH	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUUtahUTAH 51.7% Texas TechTTUUtahUTAH 32.3% BYUBYUTexas TechTTU 9.0%	1.5%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 CincinnatiCIN Texas TechTTU UtahUTAH	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUCincinnatiCIN 50.5% BYUBYUUtahUTAH 30.9% BYUBYUTexas TechTTU 18.6%	1.5%
8-1 Texas TechTTU 7-2 Arizona StateASU CincinnatiCIN UtahUTAH	Texas TechTTUUtahUTAH	1.4%
7-2 BYUBYU CincinnatiCIN Texas TechTTU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUTexas TechTTU 53.0% CincinnatiCINTexas TechTTU 27.7% BYUBYUCincinnatiCIN 19.3%	1.4%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 CincinnatiCIN Texas TechTTU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUTexas TechTTU 50.3% BYUBYUCincinnatiCIN 49.7%	1.3%
8-1 Texas TechTTU 7-2 Arizona StateASU CincinnatiCIN	CCG participants not 100% certain Arizona StateASUTexas TechTTU 98.8% CincinnatiCINTexas TechTTU 1.2%	1.3%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 Arizona StateASU Texas TechTTU UtahUTAH	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUUtahUTAH 97.6% BYUBYUTexas TechTTU 2.4%	1.1%
9-0 BYUBYU 7-2 Texas TechTTU UtahUTAH	BYUBYUTexas TechTTU	1.1%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 Arizona StateASU Texas TechTTU	Arizona StateASUBYUBYU	1.0%
7-2 Arizona StateASU BYUBYU CincinnatiCIN Texas TechTTU UtahUTAH	CCG participants not 100% certain Texas TechTTUUtahUTAH 56.0% BYUBYUUtahUTAH 44.0%	0.9%
8-1 Texas TechTTU 7-2 CincinnatiCIN TCUTCU UtahUTAH	TCUTCUTexas TechTTU	0.9%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 Arizona StateASU CincinnatiCIN Texas TechTTU UtahUTAH	BYUBYUUtahUTAH	0.9%
7-2 BYUBYU Texas TechTTU UtahUTAH	BYUBYUTexas TechTTU	0.9%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 Arizona StateASU CincinnatiCIN Texas TechTTU	BYUBYUTexas TechTTU	0.9%
7-2 Arizona StateASU BYUBYU CincinnatiCIN Texas TechTTU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUTexas TechTTU 96.6% Arizona StateASUTexas TechTTU 2.6%	0.9%
8-1 Texas TechTTU 7-2 BYUBYU TCUTCU	TCUTCUTexas TechTTU	0.9%
8-1 Texas TechTTU 7-2 BYUBYU TCUTCU UtahUTAH	CCG participants not 100% certain Texas TechTTUUtahUTAH 71.1% BYUBYUTexas TechTTU 28.9%	0.8%
8-1 Texas TechTTU 7-2 CincinnatiCIN TCUTCU	TCUTCUTexas TechTTU	0.8%
9-0 BYUBYU 7-2 Arizona StateASU Texas TechTTU UtahUTAH	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUUtahUTAH 99.9%	0.7%
7-2 CincinnatiCIN Texas TechTTU UtahUTAH	CCG participants not 100% certain Texas TechTTUUtahUTAH 82.2% CincinnatiCINTexas TechTTU 17.8%	0.7%
7-2 Arizona StateASU BYUBYU Texas TechTTU UtahUTAH	CCG participants not 100% certain Texas TechTTUUtahUTAH 46.1% BYUBYUUtahUTAH 31.2% Arizona StateASUTexas TechTTU 20.5%	0.6%
9-0 BYUBYU 7-2 Arizona StateASU Texas TechTTU	Arizona StateASUBYUBYU	0.6%
8-1 CincinnatiCIN 7-2 BYUBYU Texas TechTTU UtahUTAH	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUCincinnatiCIN 61.8% CincinnatiCINTexas TechTTU 38.3%	0.6%
8-1 Texas TechTTU 7-2 TCUTCU UtahUTAH	Texas TechTTUUtahUTAH	0.6%
7-2 Arizona StateASU BYUBYU Texas TechTTU	CCG participants not 100% certain Arizona StateASUTexas TechTTU 51.7% Arizona StateASUBYUBYU 48.3%	0.6%
8-1 Texas TechTTU 7-2 Arizona StateASU BYUBYU TCUTCU UtahUTAH	CCG participants not 100% certain Texas TechTTUUtahUTAH 93.0% BYUBYUTexas TechTTU 5.0% Arizona StateASUTexas TechTTU 2.0%	0.5%
8-1 Texas TechTTU 7-2 Arizona StateASU BYUBYU TCUTCU	CCG participants not 100% certain TCUTCUTexas TechTTU 77.2% Arizona StateASUTexas TechTTU 19.2% BYUBYUTexas TechTTU 3.6%	0.5%
8-1 Texas TechTTU 7-2 Arizona StateASU CincinnatiCIN TCUTCU UtahUTAH	CCG participants not 100% certain Texas TechTTUUtahUTAH 98.9% Arizona StateASUTexas TechTTU 1.1%	0.5%
8-1 CincinnatiCIN 7-2 BYUBYU Texas TechTTU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUCincinnatiCIN 57.5% CincinnatiCINTexas TechTTU 42.5%	0.5%
8-1 Texas TechTTU 7-2 Arizona StateASU UtahUTAH	Texas TechTTUUtahUTAH	0.5%
8-1 Texas TechTTU 7-2 Arizona StateASU CincinnatiCIN TCUTCU	CCG participants not 100% certain TCUTCUTexas TechTTU 77.7% Arizona StateASUTexas TechTTU 22.3%	0.5%
7-2 Arizona StateASU CincinnatiCIN Texas TechTTU UtahUTAH	CCG participants not 100% certain Texas TechTTUUtahUTAH 99.6%	0.4%
8-1 CincinnatiCIN 7-2 Texas TechTTU UtahUTAH	CincinnatiCINTexas TechTTU	0.4%
9-0 BYUBYU 7-2 CincinnatiCIN Texas TechTTU UtahUTAH	BYUBYUUtahUTAH	0.4%
7-2 Arizona StateASU CincinnatiCIN Texas TechTTU	CCG participants not 100% certain Arizona StateASUTexas TechTTU 94.7% CincinnatiCINTexas TechTTU 5.3%	0.4%
7-2 BYUBYU TCUTCU Texas TechTTU UtahUTAH	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUUtahUTAH 50.0% TCUTCUUtahUTAH 28.8% BYUBYUTexas TechTTU 17.7%	0.4%
8-1 CincinnatiCIN 7-2 Arizona StateASU BYUBYU Texas TechTTU UtahUTAH	CCG participants not 100% certain CincinnatiCINUtahUTAH 90.7% Arizona StateASUCincinnatiCIN 9.3%	0.4%
8-1 Texas TechTTU 7-2 Arizona StateASU TCUTCU UtahUTAH	CCG participants not 100% certain Texas TechTTUUtahUTAH 91.0% Arizona StateASUTexas TechTTU 9.0%	0.4%
9-0 BYUBYU 7-2 CincinnatiCIN Texas TechTTU	BYUBYUTexas TechTTU	0.4%
8-1 CincinnatiCIN 7-2 Arizona StateASU BYUBYU Texas TechTTU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUCincinnatiCIN 66.9% CincinnatiCINTexas TechTTU 33.1%	0.3%
8-1 Texas TechTTU 7-2 Arizona StateASU TCUTCU	Arizona StateASUTexas TechTTU	0.3%

How Tiebreakers Work

Head-to-head record → Record against the highest-placed common opponent → Next-highest, etc. → Strength of schedule → Total wins

Some tiebreaker steps involve factors like point differential that cannot be predicted before games are played, leading to uncertain outcomes.