Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/30 | W34-7 | |
| 2 | 9/06 | L13-16 | |
| 3 | 9/13 | W47-7 | |
| 4 | 9/19 | W38-28 | |
| 5 | 9/27 | L15-20 | |
| 7 | 10/11 | W37-0 | |
| 8 | 10/18 | W25-24 | |
| 9 | 10/25 | W41-3 | |
| 11 | 11/08 | L16-18 | |
| 12 | 11/15 | Win prob:44% | |
| 13 | 11/22 | Win prob:97% | |
| 14 | 11/28 | Win prob:76% |
Data from 2025-11-09
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 7-2 | 31.9% | 0.0% |
| 6-3 | 52.7% | 0% |
| 5-4 | 15.0% | 0% |
| 4-5 | 0.4% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2025-11-09
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Penn State
Minnesota
Illinois
Washington
IndianaIowa
Northwestern
Ohio StateCCG: 0.6% • Scenario: 0.2%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
Penn StateIllinoisWashingtonIndianaIowaNorthwesternOhio StateCCG: 0.0% • Scenario: 4.5%
Data from 2025-11-09
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2025-11-09