Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
52.7%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/30 | W45-7 | |
| 2 | 9/06 | W28-6 | |
| 3 | 9/13 | W44-41 | |
| 5 | 9/27 | L21-24 | |
| 6 | 10/04 | W35-14 | |
| 7 | 10/11 | W20-10 | |
| 8 | 10/18 | W43-35 | |
| 10 | 11/01 | W24-20 | |
| 11 | 11/08 | W41-21 | |
| 12 | 11/15 | Win prob:70% | |
| 13 | 11/22 | Win prob:99% | |
| 14 | 11/28 | Win prob:91% |
Data from 2025-11-09
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 | 70.3% | 75.0% |
| 6-2 | 29.8% | 0.2% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2025-11-09
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2025-11-09
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 53.3% (+0.6%) | 52.5% (-0.2%) | |
| 56.3% (+3.6%) | 51.8% (-0.9%) | |
| 52.7% (+0.0%) | 52.7% (+0.0%) | |
| 51.9% (-0.8%) | 52.8% (+0.1%) | |
| 0.2% (-52.5%) | 75.0% (+22.2%) | |
| 54.3% (+1.6%) | 52.7% (-0.0%) | |
| 70.7% (+17.9%) | 49.1% (-3.6%) | |
| 55.4% (+2.7%) | 52.3% (-0.5%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Georgia
South CarolinaCCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 11.8%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
GeorgiaCCG: 75.0% • Scenario: 70.3%
Ways for to Clinch 
CCG Spot This Week
GeorgiaSouth CarolinaData from 2025-11-09
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
75.0%
63.2%Any 1 loss
75.1%
7.0%
79.0%
0.7%
74.7%
6.3%73.3%
<0.1%Data from 2025-11-09
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2025-11-09