SEC Tiebreaker Scenarios
Scenarios where tiebreakers determine conference championship game participants
16 of 16 scenarios
| Scenario | CCG Matchup | Probability |
|---|---|---|
 AlabamaALA Texas A&MTA&M | 7.2% | |
AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA | 2.9% | |
CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALATexas A&MTA&MGeorgiaUGATexas A&MTA&M | 2.7% | |
| AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA | 1.0% | |
| AlabamaALATexas A&MTA&M | 0.1% | |
| AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA | <0.1% | |
| AlabamaALATexas A&MTA&M | <0.1% | |
| AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA | <0.1% | |
| AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA | <0.1% | |
CCG participants not 100% certain  TexasTEXTexas A&MTA&MAlabamaALATexas A&MTA&MGeorgiaUGATexas A&MTA&M | <0.1% | |
CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGAGeorgiaUGATexasTEX | <0.1% | |
CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGAAlabamaALATexasTEX | <0.1% | |
CCG participants not 100% certain GeorgiaUGA OklahomaOUGeorgiaUGATexasTEX | <0.1% | |
CCG participants not 100% certain TexasTEXTexas A&MTA&MOklahomaOUTexas A&MTA&M | <0.1% | |
CCG participants not 100% certain GeorgiaUGATexas A&MTA&MAlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA | <0.1% | |
CCG participants not 100% certain TexasTEXTexas A&MTA&MAlabamaALATexas A&MTA&M | <0.1% |
How 
Tiebreakers Work
Head-to-head → Common conference opponents → Combined record against next-highest teams → Strength of schedule → Scoring margin
Some tiebreaker steps involve factors like point differential that cannot be predicted before games are played, leading to uncertain outcomes.