Big XII Tiebreaker Scenarios
Scenarios where tiebreakers determine conference championship game participants
50 of 51 scenarios
| Scenario | CCG Matchup | Probability |
|---|---|---|
 BYUBYU Texas TechTTU | 12.7% | |
 Arizona StateASUTexas TechTTU | 11.2% | |
| Arizona StateASUTexas TechTTU | 4.0% | |
CCG participants not 100% certain Texas TechTTU UtahUTAHBYUBYUTexas TechTTU | 3.4% | |
| Texas TechTTUUtahUTAH | 3.0% | |
| Texas TechTTUUtahUTAH | 2.2% | |
 CincinnatiCINTexas TechTTU | 1.3% | |
| BYUBYUTexas TechTTU | 1.1% | |
| Texas TechTTUUtahUTAH | 1.0% | |
| BYUBYUTexas TechTTU | 0.9% | |
| Texas TechTTUUtahUTAH | 0.9% | |
| Arizona StateASUTexas TechTTU | 0.8% | |
| BYUBYUTexas TechTTU | 0.7% | |
| BYUBYUUtahUTAH | 0.6% | |
| BYUBYUTexas TechTTU | 0.6% | |
| Arizona StateASUTexas TechTTU | 0.5% | |
| Arizona StateASUTexas TechTTU | 0.4% | |
CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUTexas TechTTU HoustonHOUTexas TechTTU | 0.4% | |
| Arizona StateASUTexas TechTTU | 0.3% | |
CCG participants not 100% certain Texas TechTTUUtahUTAHBYUBYUTexas TechTTU | 0.3% | |
| Texas TechTTUUtahUTAH | 0.2% | |
| Arizona StateASUBYUBYU | 0.2% | |
| Arizona StateASUBYUBYU | 0.2% | |
| Texas TechTTUUtahUTAH | 0.2% | |
CCG participants not 100% certain Texas TechTTUUtahUTAHBYUBYUTexas TechTTU | 0.2% | |
| Texas TechTTUUtahUTAH | 0.2% | |
| Arizona StateASUTexas TechTTU | 0.2% | |
| Texas TechTTUUtahUTAH | <0.1% | |
| BYUBYUTexas TechTTU | <0.1% | |
| Arizona StateASUUtahUTAH | <0.1% | |
| Arizona StateASUTexas TechTTU | <0.1% | |
| Texas TechTTUUtahUTAH | <0.1% | |
| HoustonHOUTexas TechTTU | <0.1% | |
| Texas TechTTUUtahUTAH | <0.1% | |
| BYUBYUUtahUTAH | <0.1% | |
| BYUBYUTexas TechTTU | <0.1% | |
| CincinnatiCINTexas TechTTU | <0.1% | |
| BYUBYUTexas TechTTU | <0.1% | |
| HoustonHOUTexas TechTTU | <0.1% | |
| HoustonHOUTexas TechTTU | <0.1% | |
| BYUBYUTexas TechTTU | <0.1% | |
| Texas TechTTUUtahUTAH | <0.1% | |
| Arizona StateASUTexas TechTTU | <0.1% | |
| BYUBYUTexas TechTTU | <0.1% | |
| BYUBYUTexas TechTTU | <0.1% | |
| Arizona StateASUBYUBYU | <0.1% | |
| Texas TechTTUUtahUTAH | <0.1% | |
| Arizona StateASUUtahUTAH | <0.1% | |
CCG participants not 100% certain Texas TechTTUUtahUTAHBYUBYUUtahUTAH | <0.1% | |
| Arizona StateASUTexas TechTTU | <0.1% |
How 
Tiebreakers Work
Head-to-head record → Record against the highest-placed common opponent → Next-highest, etc. → Strength of schedule → Total wins
Some tiebreaker steps involve factors like point differential that cannot be predicted before games are played, leading to uncertain outcomes.