Atlantic Coast Conference Tiebreaker Scenarios

Scenarios where tiebreakers determine conference championship game participants

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12 of 12 scenarios

Scenario	CCG Matchup	Probability
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT VirginiaUVA	SMUSMUVirginiaUVA	39.1%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT VirginiaUVA	SMUSMUVirginiaUVA	13.4%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT	CCG participants not 100% certain MiamiMIASMUSMU 68.8% DukeDUKESMUSMU 31.2%	8.9%
6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	DukeDUKEVirginiaUVA	6.8%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT	MiamiMIASMUSMU	3.0%
6-2 Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	CCG participants not 100% certain MiamiMIAVirginiaUVA 88.5% SMUSMUVirginiaUVA 11.5%	2.3%
7-1 PittsburghPITT 6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	PittsburghPITTVirginiaUVA	2.2%
6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT SMUSMU	DukeDUKEMiamiMIA	1.5%
7-1 PittsburghPITT 6-2 Georgia TechGT SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	PittsburghPITTVirginiaUVA	0.7%
6-2 Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT SMUSMU	Georgia TechGTMiamiMIA	0.5%
7-1 PittsburghPITT 6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT SMUSMU	Georgia TechGTPittsburghPITT	0.5%
7-1 PittsburghPITT 6-2 Georgia TechGT SMUSMU	Georgia TechGTPittsburghPITT	0.2%

Head-to-head → Common conference opponents → Record against next-best common opponent → Strength of schedule

Some tiebreaker steps involve factors like point differential that cannot be predicted before games are played, leading to uncertain outcomes.