Atlantic Coast Conference

Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Probabilities

Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2025-11-23

Atlantic Coast ConferenceConference Standings

T1SMUSMU6-18-385.7%
T1PittsburghPITT6-18-324.6%
T3VirginiaUVA6-29-264.4%
T3Georgia TechGT6-29-21.1%
T5Miami FLMIA5-29-213.1%
T5DukeDUKE5-26-511.0%
7Wake ForestWAKE4-38-3-
T8ClemsonCLEM4-46-5-
T8LouisvilleLOU4-47-4-
T8NC StateNCSU4-46-5-
11CaliforniaCAL3-46-5-
12StanfordSTAN3-54-7-
T13North CarolinaUNC2-54-7-
T13Virginia TechVT2-53-8-
15Florida StFSU2-65-6-
16SyracuseSYR1-63-8-
17Boston CollegeBC0-71-10-

Based on 100,000 simulations • Data from 2025-11-23 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Atlantic Coast Conference CCG Matchups

152.7%
SMUSMU
vs
UVAVirginia
221.1%
PittsburghPITT
vs
SMUSMU
39.1%
Miami FLMIA
vs
SMUSMU
46.8%
DukeDUKE
vs
UVAVirginia
52.9%
PittsburghPITT
vs
UVAVirginia
62.8%
DukeDUKE
vs
SMUSMU
72.0%
Miami FLMIA
vs
UVAVirginia
81.5%
DukeDUKE
vs
MIAMiami FL
90.7%
Georgia TechGT
vs
PITTPittsburgh
100.5%
Georgia TechGT
vs
MIAMiami FL

Data from 2025-11-23 • SportsSimulate.com

Atlantic Coast ConferenceCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11Week 12Week 13Week 14

Data from 2025-11-23 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact on Atlantic Coast Conference CCG Odds

Current CCG Probability: 85.7%
Game
SMUCCG OddsAway
SMUCCG OddsHome
Notre DameND@StanfordSTAN
85.6%
(-0.0%)		87.9%
(+2.2%)
Wake ForestWAKE@DukeDUKE
86.5%
(+0.8%)		85.4%
(-0.3%)
GeorgiaUGA@Georgia TechGT
85.7%
(+0.0%)		85.6%
(-0.1%)
Virginia TechVT@VirginiaUVA
85.7%
(+0.0%)		85.7%
(+0.0%)
Florida StFSU@FloridaFLA
85.8%
(+0.2%)		85.5%
(-0.2%)
North CarolinaUNC@NC StateNCSU
86.2%
(+0.5%)		85.4%
(-0.2%)
SMUSMU@CaliforniaCAL
100.0%
(+14.3%)		1.8%
(-83.9%)
ClemsonCLEM@South CarolinaSC
85.7%
(+0.1%)		85.6%
(-0.1%)
KentuckyUK@LouisvilleLOU
85.9%
(+0.3%)		85.5%
(-0.1%)
Boston CollegeBC@SyracuseSYR
86.0%
(+0.4%)		85.4%
(-0.3%)
Miami FLMIA@PittsburghPITT
85.7%
(+0.0%)		85.5%
(-0.1%)

Data from 2025-11-23 • SportsSimulate.com

Atlantic Coast ConferenceCCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team7-17-26-2Overall
SMUSMU100%-1.8%85.7%
VirginiaUVA-79.0%-64.4%
PittsburghPITT100%--24.6%
Miami FLMIA--17.4%13.1%
DukeDUKE--14.8%11.0%
Georgia TechGT--1.1%1.1%
Boston CollegeBC----
CaliforniaCAL----
ClemsonCLEM----
Florida StFSU----
LouisvilleLOU----
NC StateNCSU----
North CarolinaUNC----
StanfordSTAN----
SyracuseSYR----
Virginia TechVT----
Wake ForestWAKE----

Data from 2025-11-23 • SportsSimulate.com

Atlantic Coast ConferenceFinal Record Distribution

Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record

Team7-17-26-26-35-35-44-44-53-52-61-70-8Avg Wins
SMUSMU(6-1)85.4%0.0%14.6%---------6.9
VirginiaUVA(6-2)-81.5%0.0%18.5%--------6.8
PittsburghPITT(6-1)24.6%0.0%75.4%---------6.2
Georgia TechGT(6-2)--100%---------6.0
Miami FLMIA(5-2)--75.4%0.0%24.6%-------5.8
DukeDUKE(5-2)--74.6%0.0%25.4%-------5.7
NC StateNCSU(4-4)-----69.7%0.0%30.3%----4.7
Wake ForestWAKE(4-3)----25.4%0.0%74.6%-----4.3
ClemsonCLEM(4-4)------100%-----4.0
LouisvilleLOU(4-4)------100%-----4.0
CaliforniaCAL(3-4)------14.6%0.0%85.4%---3.1
StanfordSTAN(3-5)--------100%---3.0
North CarolinaUNC(2-5)--------30.3%69.7%--2.3
Virginia TechVT(2-5)--------18.5%81.5%--2.2
Florida StFSU(2-6)---------100%--2.0
SyracuseSYR(1-6)---------56.9%43.1%-1.6
Boston CollegeBC(0-7)----------43.1%56.9%0.4

Data from 2025-11-23 • SportsSimulate.com