VirginiaCavaliers

9-2 T3rd (6-2) in ACC

Data from 2025-11-23 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

64.4%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	vsCoastal CarolinaCCU	W48-7
2	9/06	@NC StateNCSU	L31-35
3	9/13	vsWilliam & MaryW&M	W55-16
4	9/20	vsStanfordSTAN	W48-20
5	9/26	vsFlorida StateFSU	W46-38
6	10/04	@LouisvilleLOU	W30-27
8	10/18	vsWashington StateWSU	W22-20
9	10/25	@North CarolinaUNC	W17-16
10	11/01	@CaliforniaCAL	W31-21
11	11/08	vsWake ForestWAKE	L9-16
12	11/15	@DukeDUKE	W34-17
14	11/29	vsVirginia TechVT	Win prob:81%

Data from 2025-11-23 • SportsSimulate.com

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
7-2	81.5%	79.0%
6-3	18.5%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-11-23 • SportsSimulate.com

if makes the CCG

81.8%

10.5%

4.5%

3.1%

Data from 2025-11-23 • SportsSimulate.com

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
Notre DameND@StanfordSTAN	64.4% (+0.0%)	63.6% (-0.8%)
Wake ForestWAKE@DukeDUKE	64.6% (+0.1%)	64.4% (-0.1%)
GeorgiaUGA@Georgia TechGT	64.4% (+0.0%)	64.5% (+0.0%)
Virginia TechVT@VirginiaUVA	0.0% (-64.4%)	79.0% (+14.6%)
Florida StateFSU@FloridaFLA	64.3% (-0.1%)	64.6% (+0.1%)
North CarolinaUNC@NC StateNCSU	64.4% (+0.0%)	64.4% (-0.0%)
SMUSMU@CaliforniaCAL	61.4% (-3.0%)	81.9% (+17.5%)
ClemsonCLEM@South CarolinaSC	64.5% (+0.1%)	64.3% (-0.1%)
KentuckyUK@LouisvilleLOU	64.3% (-0.1%)	64.5% (+0.1%)
Boston CollegeBC@SyracuseSYR	64.5% (+0.1%)	64.4% (-0.0%)
MiamiMIA@PittsburghPITT	81.6% (+17.2%)	11.8% (-52.6%)