Mid-American Conference

Mid-American Conference Championship Probabilities

Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2025-10-12

Mid-American ConferenceConference Standings

T1W MichiganWMU3-04-314.8%
T1Miami OHM-OH2-03-342.7%
T1BuffaloBUF2-03-331.1%
T4OhioOHIO1-13-357.0%
T4Bowling GreenBGSU1-13-340.3%
T4Ball StBALL1-12-40.5%
T4C MichiganCMU1-13-30.4%
T4KentKENT1-12-4-
T9ToledoTOL1-23-312.3%
T9E MichiganEMU1-22-50.3%
T9AkronAKR1-22-5<0.1%
T12N IllinoisNIU0-21-50.7%
T12MassachusettsMASS0-20-6-

Based on 100,000 simulations • Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Mid-American Conference CCG Matchups

118.3%
Bowling GreenBGSU
vs
OHIOOhio
217.6%
Miami OHM-OH
vs
OHIOOhio
312.6%
BuffaloBUF
vs
OHIOOhio
410.4%
Bowling GreenBGSU
vs
M-OHMiami OH
57.7%
BuffaloBUF
vs
M-OHMiami OH
65.4%
Bowling GreenBGSU
vs
BUFBuffalo
74.3%
OhioOHIO
vs
WMUW Michigan
83.7%
OhioOHIO
vs
TOLToledo
93.5%
Miami OHM-OH
vs
TOLToledo
103.3%
BuffaloBUF
vs
WMUW Michigan
113.2%
Bowling GreenBGSU
vs
WMUW Michigan
123.1%
Miami OHM-OH
vs
WMUW Michigan
132.7%
Bowling GreenBGSU
vs
TOLToledo
141.5%
BuffaloBUF
vs
TOLToledo
150.8%
ToledoTOL
vs
WMUW Michigan

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

Mid-American ConferenceCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact on Mid-American Conference CCG Odds

Current CCG Probability: 57.0%
Game
OhioCCG OddsAway
OhioCCG OddsHome
C MichiganCMU@Bowling GreenBGSU
61.6%
(+4.6%)		56.4%
(-0.6%)
KentKENT@ToledoTOL
60.0%
(+3.0%)		57.0%
(-0.0%)
N IllinoisNIU@OhioOHIO
30.0%
(-27.0%)		62.8%
(+5.8%)
BuffaloBUF@MassachusettsMASS
56.6%
(-0.4%)		59.6%
(+2.6%)
AkronAKR@Ball StBALL
56.5%
(-0.5%)		57.2%
(+0.2%)
E MichiganEMU@Miami OHM-OH
61.8%
(+4.8%)		56.2%
(-0.8%)

Best Winner Combination for Ohio

C MichiganCentral MichiganKentKent StateMassachusettsMassachusettsAkronAkron

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Ohio

OhioOhio

CCG: 62.8% • Scenario: 82.3%

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

Mid-American ConferenceCCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team8-07-16-25-3Overall
OhioOHIO-100%71.3%1.8%57.0%
Miami OHM-OH100%99.8%51.4%1.8%42.7%
Bowling GreenBGSU-93.8%26.9%0.1%40.3%
BuffaloBUF100%99.3%24.5%0.2%31.1%
W MichiganWMU100%97.5%33.4%0.3%14.8%
ToledoTOL--30.0%0.4%12.3%
N IllinoisNIU--45.9%0.1%0.7%
Ball StBALL-100%43.5%0.4%0.5%
C MichiganCMU-100%41.5%0.3%0.4%
E MichiganEMU--84.5%7.2%0.3%
AkronAKR--29.2%0.2%<0.1%
KentKENT-100%---
MassachusettsMASS---3.3%-

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

Mid-American ConferenceFinal Record Distribution

Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record

Team8-07-16-25-34-43-52-61-70-8Avg Wins
Bowling GreenBGSU(1-1)-30.6%43.0%21.2%4.7%0.5%<0.1%0.0%-6.0
OhioOHIO(1-1)-27.6%40.7%23.9%6.8%1.0%<0.1%0.0%-5.9
Miami OHM-OH(2-0)3.4%19.8%37.0%28.8%9.5%1.4%<0.1%--5.7
BuffaloBUF(2-0)3.4%18.8%36.5%29.9%10.0%1.4%<0.1%--5.7
ToledoTOL(1-2)--40.4%44.7%13.5%1.4%<0.1%0.0%-5.2
W MichiganWMU(3-0)0.5%6.2%24.4%39.5%25.0%4.4%---5.0
N IllinoisNIU(0-2)--1.5%14.8%43.5%31.3%8.0%0.8%<0.1%3.7
Ball StBALL(1-1)-<0.1%1.0%9.9%35.7%39.2%13.1%1.1%-3.4
C MichiganCMU(1-1)-<0.1%0.7%6.5%25.6%42.4%21.5%3.3%-3.1
AkronAKR(1-2)--<0.1%1.8%16.4%43.4%32.4%5.9%-2.8
E MichiganEMU(1-2)--0.1%2.5%13.6%34.1%36.2%13.5%-2.6
KentKENT(1-1)-0.0%<0.1%<0.1%1.4%11.1%38.7%48.8%-1.7
MassachusettsMASS(0-2)--0.0%<0.1%1.0%7.3%25.7%41.7%24.3%1.2

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com