Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/30 | L10-42 | |
| 2 | 9/06 | L26-27 | |
| 3 | 9/13 | L7-47 | |
| 5 | 9/27 | L6-42 | |
| 6 | 10/04 | L3-21 | |
| 7 | 10/11 | L6-42 | |
| 8 | 10/18 | Win prob:15% | |
| 9 | 10/25 | Win prob:30% | |
| 10 | 11/04 | Win prob:43% | |
| 12 | 11/12 | Win prob:16% | |
| 12 | 11/18 | Win prob:3% | |
| 13 | 11/25 | Win prob:12% |
Data from 2025-10-12
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | 0% | 0% |
| 5-3 | 0.1% | 3.3% |
| 4-4 | 1.0% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 7.3% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 25.7% | 0% |
| 1-7 | 41.7% | 0% |
| 0-8 | 24.3% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2025-10-12
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Central Michigan
Toledo
OhioMassachusetts
Ball State
Miami (OH)CCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 0.8%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
ToledoOhioMassachusettsBall StateMiami (OH)CCG: 0.0% • Scenario: 7.3%
Data from 2025-10-12
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2025-10-12